MEXICO
Analysts
Mauricio González
Former Director of Economic Policy, Finance Ministry
Guillermo Valdes
Former Director, Center of Investigation & National SecurityDatabanks
Events
Recent Country Insights
Politics: Judicial reform running into serious obstacles with the election of judges just four months away
MEXICO · Report · 03 Feb 2025
Morena and the Fourth Transformation’s “Judicial Reform” is encountering major obstacles in its implementation. The reform, based on the popular election of Supreme Court justices, judges, and magistrates on a federal, state, and local level, is viewed as a way of eliminating what has been the ma...
Economics: Activity slowdown projected to continue and deepen in 2025
MEXICO · Report · 03 Feb 2025
The 4Q24 economic indicators point to a continued and deepening slowdown for 2025. 4Q GDP clocked in at a lackluster seasonally adjusted annual 0.6%. This result brought 2024 GDP growth to 1.5%, in line with estimates and less than half the 2023 result. We project weak 0.3% GDP growth for 2025 t...
Economics: Some general implications on the Mexican economy of Trump's executive orders
MEXICO · Report · 27 Jan 2025
Some of the threats made against Mexico by then-candidate Donald Trump during his presidential campaign were converted into executive orders on the day he was inaugurated. He persists in his threats to impose an additional 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada, and 60% on imports from China. However, t...
Politics: Mexico responds to Trump’s initial measures, but is the government up for the challenge?
MEXICO · Report · 27 Jan 2025
Donald Trump’s first measures upon assuming office on January 20 came as no surprise to Mexico, and the Mexican government and society as a whole almost unanimously condemns Trump’s tough and aggressive anti-immigrant stance. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s approach has been on multiple levels: con...
Politics: Trump’s threats cast a shadow over the Mexican outlook
MEXICO · Report · 21 Jan 2025
Supporters of Claudia Sheinbaum jammed Mexico City’s Zocalo square on January 12th for a rally to mark her 100 days in office. The new President’s speech centered on several key points: continuity with AMLO’s project and policies and a rejection of a return to the neoliberal past; major achieveme...
Economics: Signs of progress in Sheinbaum’s Plan Mexico but excessive optimism and other faults of past years continue to predominate
MEXICO · Report · 21 Jan 2025
Plan Mexico: a National Strategy for Industrialization and Shared Prosperity, which the administration of President Claudia Sheinbaum unveiled on January 13, clearly marks a step in the right direction in terms of planning. Complete with a mission and goals for 2030, actions for January-April 202...
Economics: Indicators for October and November confirm a more pronounced deceleration likely to extend well into 2025
MEXICO · Report · 14 Jan 2025 · 1 response
The seasonally adjusted 0.3% yoy drop in activity the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE) registered for October marked its first outright contraction since early 2021. The latest result marked an extension of the slowing trend that began in early 2Q 2024. Services continued to decelerat...
Politics: Sheinbaum crafts a new and different public security policy
MEXICO · Report · 13 Jan 2025
Although economic issues remain the main challenge Claudia Sheinbaum’s presidential administration faces, public security is a close second and perhaps more daunting problem and could be its Achilles heel. What appears clear is that former President Andrés Manuel Lopez Obrador’s policy of “hugs ...
Economics: Balance of risks skewed to the upside
MEXICO · Report · 23 Dec 2024
The balance of economic risks for next year is skewed to the upside. Several of the risks anticipated in previous months have materialized. Among them are an institutional weakening, fiscal deterioration, lower business confidence to invest in Mexico, and threats to trade and the external economy...