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UPCOMING WEBINAR - HUNGARY ELECTIONS 2026: POLLS, RISKS AND MACRO OUTLO...

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Upcoming webinar - Hungary elections 2026: Polls, risks and macro outlook
HUNGARY · Report · 24 Mar 2026

Date: 25 Mar 2026 Time: 10:00 AM Eastern Time As Hungary's parliamentary elections approach, what are the key nuances of the system? Where are the polls pointing? How are key economic features such as growth and inflation performing and what impact could they have on the electorate? What risk...

Economics: Employment growth at the start of 2026 remains weak despite a slight uptick in economic activity
MEXICO · Report · 24 Mar 2026

The total employed population in Mexico as of January 2026 saw weak growth of 0.4% YoY, after remaining at low growth rates throughout 2025, when it increased by an average of 0.7%. While last year the weakening of employment was in line with the overall stagnation of the economy, in January 2026...

Justice Mendonça has ordered Alcolumbre to extend the INSS CPMI, Paraná Governor Ratinho Júnior has withdrawn from the presidential race, and the TSE is set to rule on the case against Rio Governor Cláudio Castro
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Mar 2026

Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice André Mendonça has ordered Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) to extend the INSS Joint Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPMI). The committee had originally been scheduled to conclude on March 28. Paraná Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) has withdrawn fr...

Broad unemployment rises due to war-related disruptions, including school closures and business shutdown
ISRAEL · In Brief · 24 Mar 2026

Early data point to the economic impact of the war in Israel.  Yesterday, the CBS published labor market data for February. According to the CBS, the February survey partly covers the first week of March, reflecting the initial impact of the war, including business closures and workers placed on ...

Politics: New Electoral Reform proposal—what is President Sheinbaum's "Plan B" about?
MEXICO · Report · 23 Mar 2026

Following the rejection of President Sheinbaum’s initial constitutional reform on electoral matters—opposed by her allies PT and PVEM, who feared severe losses in funding and congressional seats—she submitted “Plan B” to the Senate last week. This more limited proposal seeks to “make democracy ch...

Truckers risk on the radar and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Mar 2026

The Office of the Prosecutor General (PGR) may issue a position on a request for house arrest for former President Jair Bolsonaro. The PSD is expected to define its presidential candidate. On Friday, Confaz will discuss reducing the ICMS tax on diesel imports. This is the final week of activity f...

Facing the US, Colombia and Iran
ECUADOR · Report · 23 Mar 2026

Ever since the beginning of this year, Ecuador's external sector has been the epicenter of both good news and difficult news. In the good news, as of March 13 the government has a TRA (Trade Reconciliation Agreement) with the United States that could bring new revenues of approximately $1200 mill...

Fiscal impact of the oil shock
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 23 Mar 2026

The increase in oil prices triggered by the conflict in Iran has significant fiscal repercussions for Brazil, given the weight of the sector in the economy. The revenue impacts occur mainly through royalties and special participation charges on oil exploration, through corporate taxes on the sect...

Dominican government reiterates readiness to face the impact of the war with Iran, while warning that sacrifices will be necessary
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · In Brief · 23 Mar 2026 · 1 response

Yesterday, President Luis Abinader addressed the nation to reiterate the main points discussed at the Council of Government meeting on March 19. He noted that the war with Iran represents a significant external shock for the Dominican economy, given that the country is a net importer of energy. I...

The PGR is expected to issue an opinion on Bolsonaro’s request for house arrest, this is the final week of activity for the INSS CPMI, and the PSD may select its presidential pre-candidate tomorrow
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Mar 2026

Justice Alexandre de Moraes of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) requested on Friday that the Office of the Prosecutor General (PGR) issue an opinion on the request for house arrest filed by former President Jair Bolsonaro’s legal team. The justice did not set a deadline for the PGR’s response, whi...

Balancing growth, inflation and external risks, amid geopolitical uncertainty
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · Report · 23 Mar 2026

Macroeconomic indicators as of February suggest that the Dominican economy is gradually recovering from its weak 2025 performance, when growth fell to one of its lowest levels of the past three decades. Economic activity expanded by 3.5% y/y in January 2026, while inflation eased to 4.67% y/y ...

Iran War Days 22–23: Power plants threatened, nuclear sites hit, Iran oil sanctions eased
GULF COUNTRIES · In Brief · 22 Mar 2026

Highlights The war escalated further over the weekend. Trump threatened to “obliterate” Iran’s power plants if Hormuz is not reopened, and Iran threatened a tit-for-tat response. Natanz nuclear plant was struck again and Iran targeted Israel’s nuclear facility in Dimona for the first time. Iran f...

Too many known unknowns
TURKEY · Report · 22 Mar 2026 · 1 response

At the end of the third week of the Iran War or Gulf Crisis, its expansion, damage to supply changes and neighboring economies have become devastating. Our job is to make predictions about the Turkish economy and politics, but without understanding how long the war might last, what its permanent ...

GULF WEEKLY: Qatari LNG damaged, Brent rises above $110, Saudi Red Sea exports pick up
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 20 Mar 2026

A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines: * Brent rose above $110 after Israel bombed an Iranian gas field and Iran hit the Qatari side of the field. * Qatar says 17% of its LNG will be offline for 3-5 years and its expansion could be delayed by a year. * There was...

Israel’s economy under war: macroeconomic and geopolitical developments - Weekly report, March 20, 2026
ISRAEL · Report · 20 Mar 2026

Headlines: - Israel struck major energy infrastructure in Iran, including the South Pars gas field, and Iran retaliated by targeting energy facilities in Qatar and Israel, including refineries. At the same time, Iran continues to launch limited, but more advanced missiles, creating repeated dis...

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