GlobalSource Partners | Country Insights

August brought a pause in the inflation acceleration of June–July, but it did not dispel the fragility of the foreign exchange balance. Monthly inflation fell to 9 percent from 20 percent in July, in line with slower depreciation of the official exchange rate and the seasonal moderation in fiscal...

NABEP: Washington and Caracas’ oil bet

VENEZUELA · Report · 14 Sep 2026

The U.S.-Venezuela agreement centered on North American Blue Energy Partners (NABEP) seeks to turn the revival of Venezuela’s oil industry into a quick political success for both governments. President Trump’s political objectives are the main driver and cornerstone of the agreement: it could ...

Washington decides the course, Caracas negotiates the pace

VENEZUELA · Report · 25 Aug 2026

After the earthquakes, the country returns to a "new normal" under more pressure to accelerate change — though the relevant actors understand "change" quite differently. The negotiating table between the 2015 National Assembly delegation and the Rodríguez government, represented by the 2025 Na...

Closing the gap bears a cost in inflation and forex

VENEZUELA · Report · 19 Aug 2026

July laid bare the tradeoff facing the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV): narrowing the exchange rate gap inevitably comes at an inflation cost and requires abundant foreign currency. The official exchange rate depreciated 18.2 percent, while monthly inflation accelerated to 19.9 percent, confir...

Webinar replay - Venezuela: The road ahead

VENEZUELA · Report · 31 Jul 2026

After Venezuela was shaken by twin earthquakes, bringing a tragic loss of life and destruction, the country must rebuild and try to move forward. How are recovery and reconstruction efforts proceeding? What are the economic and political ramifications for the country? How is Venezuela faring on o...

Upcoming webinar - Venezuela: The road ahead

VENEZUELA · Report · 29 Jul 2026

Time: 10:00 AM EDT After Venezuela was shaken by twin earthquakes, bringing a tragic loss of life and destruction, the country must rebuild and try to move forward. How are recovery and reconstruction efforts proceeding? What are the economic and political ramifications for the country? How is...

Earthquakes expose the extent of U.S. oversight

VENEZUELA · Report · 28 Jul 2026

Since January 3, Delcy Rodríguez’s interim government has operated under an arrangement by which Washington retains strategic decision-making authority and control over oil revenues, while Rodríguez runs the government with autonomy limited to non-strategic areas. The June 24 earthquakes put t...

Double shock: Earthquake emergency and lower oil revenue

VENEZUELA · Report · 21 Jul 2026

The twin earthquakes of June 24 altered the macroeconomic landscape just as the Central Bank of Venezuela (BCV) was beginning to experiment with a new exchange rate regime. Reconstruction will increase public expenditure needs at a time when deteriorating oil revenue reduces the room to finance t...

Delcy Rodríguez’s first major test

VENEZUELA · Report · 04 Jul 2026

The June 24 earthquakes are Delcy Rodríguez’s interim government’s first major operational test since assuming power in January of this year. The response has been opaque, slow, and heavily dependent on U.S. military and humanitarian cooperation, more visible than the Venezuelan Armed Forces them...

Economic impact of the earthquakes

VENEZUELA · Report · 02 Jul 2026 · 2 responses

The double earthquake of June 24, 2026, intensifies Venezuela’s economic crisis. The disaster struck a country with no fiscal space, no access to international financing, an electricity system operating at its limit, a fragile exchange rate regime, and a fractured payment system. It multiplies ex...

Oil tailwind switches course

VENEZUELA · Report · 23 Jun 2026 · 1 response

The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has changed our outlook. The extraordinary oil windfall that sustained foreign exchange inflows during the first half of 2026 is starting to move in reverse, prompting us to revise our inflation and depreciation forecasts upward for the second half of this ye...

Moving forward without certainty

VENEZUELA · Report · 01 Jun 2026

The Delcy Rodríguez government is moving ahead with calculated pragmatism: freeing prisoners, reopening public space, and attracting oil investment, while keeping the instruments of political control intact—the Attorney General’s Office, the courts, and the repressive legal framework—and favoring...

Venezuela’s restructuring announcement: the right words, eloquent silences

VENEZUELA · Report · 15 May 2026

On May 13, the Venezuelan government formally launched its external debt restructuring process through a statement signed by Calixto Ortega, Vice President for the Economy. The same day, a Businesswire release announced that Centerview Partners will serve as financial advisor. The appointment of ...

Disinflation continues, exchange rate gap becomes entrenched

VENEZUELA · Report · 13 May 2026 · 1 response

Monthly inflation fell to 10.6 percent in April from 13.1 percent in March thanks to stronger oil revenues. Central bank forex sales rose, the market rate fell, the pace of official exchange rate depreciation slowed, and the exchange rate gap narrowed. Moreover, April brought an easing of sanctio...

Change in their own terms

VENEZUELA · Report · 28 Apr 2026

After nearly four months in office, the Rodríguez group has brought gain: stability in the immediate political environment, legal reforms to reshape the business climate for the oil and mining sectors, and progress toward a consensus on labor reform. These gains coexist, however, with persistent ...