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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

CIS ESSENTIAL POLITICS: November 17-30
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 01 Dec 2025

- The US presents a 28-point peace plan that horrifies Europe and mildly impresses Russia. - The corruption scandal in Ukraine claims Yermak. - Azerbaijan arrests a main opposition leader. - The Kyrgyzstani election results in a total victory for Japarov. - Ukraine ta...

CIS Essential Politics: November 1-17, 2025
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 17 Nov 2025

- A massive corruption scandal in Ukraine implicates a former defense minister and various Zelensky allies. - Russia encircles key cities of Pokrovsk and Mirnograd after a year of fighting. - Kazakhstan signs an alliance with Russia and a minerals deal with US. - A fierce R...

CIS Essential Politics: October 16-31
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 31 Oct 2025

- Russian strikes on Ukraine cause nationwide blackouts as winter looms. - Russia successfully tests Burevestnik, a nuclear-powered cruise missile with potentially unlimited range. - Failure to agree to a summit in Budapest leads the US to impose sanctions on Rosneft and Luko...

CIS Essential Politics: October 1-15
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 15 Oct 2025

- Ukrainian strikes force halt of operations at four major Russian refineries. - Ukraine has a USD 20.5 bn repair backlog after years of strikes against its energy infrastructure. - Putin apologizes to Aliyev as part of détente, signaling end of the diplomatic crisis. - Rus...

Essential CIS Politics: October 2025
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 30 Sep 2025

- Trump U-turns on Ukraine war, announces support for Ukraine’s 1991 borders. - Russia and China sign agreement on massive new gas pipeline after Putin’s visit to Beijing, the Power of Siberia-2. - Zelensky announces that he will not run again after the war, tries to address inte...

Essential CIS Politics: September 2025
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 02 Sep 2025

- Putin and Trump meet in Anchorage for a friendly but inconclusive summit. - Crises in Russian petroleum, agriculture and space industries; strikes on Russian refineries seek impact on population rather than armed forces. - Relations between Russia and Azerbaijan continue to crater. - Aze...

Essential CIS Politics: August 2025
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 01 Aug 2025

- Aeroflot grounded by massive cyberattack; Ukrainian group claims responsibility. - Russia—the first country in the world to recognize Taliban Afghanistan. - Russian armed forces drive a wedge between Pokrovsk and Kostyantynivka. - Ukraine experiences unrest related to Zel...

Special report: Moscow-Baku diplomatic row in perspective—destabilization of the South Caucasus?
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 18 Jul 2025

- Russian police launched raids on the Azerbaijani diaspora in Russia, citing its involvement in organized crime. - Azerbaijan retaliated by arresting and beating Russian nationals and closing Russian media outlets. - Aliyev maintains a stable equilibrium in his country's relatio...

Essential CIS Politics: July 2025
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 30 Jun 2025

- Impact on Russia and Ukraine of the Iran-Israel conflict: an analysis. - Ukraine launches a daring attack on Russian strategic bombers. - Russia’s Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov alerts of risk of recession. - Armenia in political crisis as Pashinyan squares off agains...

Poland and Ukraine spar over historiography: Ukraine’s WW II narratives trigger preventive Polish veto of EU and NATO accession
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 23 Jun 2025

• Poland is one of Ukraine’s strongest allies and highly opposed to Russia, but relations between Poland and Ukraine have been blighted by key issues. • Ukraine and Poland disagree over the commemoration of Ukrainian nationalists, who killed up to 100,000 Poles during WW II and afterwards. • Po...

Ukraine’s "Spiderweb" embarrasses Russia ahead of peace talks, could trigger a ballistic "Oreshnik" response
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 07 Jun 2025

Report: Ukraine’s "Spiderweb" embarrasses Russia ahead of peace talks, could trigger a ballistic "Oreshnik" response Ukraine strikes Russian bombers, allegedly causing up to USD 7 bn in damage Russian domestic military commentators criticize security and intelligence failsPeace talks in Istanbul ...

Essential CIS Politics: June 2025
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 02 Jun 2025

- Russia launches the largest strike of the war in likely preparation for a summer offensive. - Russian and Ukrainian delegations negotiate in Istanbul and plan to meet again on June 2. - The largest information leak in Russian history reveals sensitive nuclear secrets. - G...

Essential CIS Politics: May 2025
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 01 May 2025

- Progress on Ukraine War peace deal stalls despite numerous meetings and proposals by all sides. - Russia launches minor offensive; gains very limited. - North Korean military presence in Russia praised by Putin and Gerasimov. - Geopolitical shift—Central Asian countries f...

Essential CIS Politics: April 2025
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 01 Apr 2025

- Trump threatens with 25-50 per cent oil tariffs on Moscow if a ceasefire agreement is not reached. - Moscow shows signs of rapprochement to new HTS authorities in Damascus. - Trump wants right of first offer regarding projects to develop Ukraine’s resources. - Russia forc...

A postmortem for Ukraine’s Kursk offensive as Russia rejects ceasefire terms
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 14 Mar 2025

- Russia launches successful offensive in Kursk sector, ejecting Ukrainian troops from most of the territory. - Russia could continue advancing into Ukraine’s territory across the Kursk border if no ceasefire is agreed, as Ukraine evacuates villages in the Sumy Region. - Ukraine ...

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