A first glance at the new political map after the June 2 elections

MEXICO - In Brief 04 Jun 2024 by Guillermo Valdes
A first glance at the new political map after the June 2 elections The surprising magnitude of the victory of Morena and its allies in all the elections held on June 2 caused a profound change in the distribution of political power that will last for many years. A victory of Claudia Sheinbaum was fully expected but with a narrower margin (between 10 and 20 points) and with counterweights in Congress. However, no one considered in their scenarios that the official coalition could have a 30-point margin in the presidential election and qualified majorities (2/3) in both legislative chambers. In the Senate, the official coalition is only missing three senators, whom they will be able to get without much problem. Graph 1 Presidential election results Source: Preliminary results reported by INE, with 93% of voting booths considered In the election of federal deputies, Morena and its allies obtained 54.1%, five percentage points less than in the presidential election. Graph 2 Federal Deputy election results Source: Preliminary results reported by INE, with 93% of voting booths considered Graph 3 Senate election results Source: Preliminary results reported by INE, with 93% of voting booths considered The composition of the Chamber of Deputies would be as follows: Table 1 Source: Ministry of the Interior (Secretaría de Gobernación). 2024 Federal Elections The official coalition, made up by Morena, PVEM and PT, would have a total of 365 deputies, and the qualified majority is 330. The Senate would have the following seat distribution: Table 2 Source: Ministry of the Interior (Secretaría de Gobernación). 2024 Federal Elections In this case, three senators would be missing to com...

Now read on...

Register to sample a report

Register
Sign-in
Forgot your password?
Copyright 2024 GlobalSource Partners. All rights reserved. This is prepared for GlobalSource Partners’ clients and may not be redistributed, reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, retransmitted or disclosed, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of GlobalSource Partners. This is distributed simultaneously to our website and other portals used by GlobalSource Partners. The information herein was obtained from various sources and is believed to be reliable but GlobalSource Partners does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Neither GlobalSource Partners nor any Country Analyst, officer or employee accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect or consequential damages or losses rising from any use of this or its contents.