A Long, Cold Winter?

TURKEY - Report 01 Dec 2013 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada
According to recent polls, AKP is firmly ahead in the March local election races. We bet it will keep Istanbul and Ankara, as well as most of the large cities. Yet, for PM Erdogan’s presidential campaign, the party needs to surpass 50%, which is likely to be missed.The unexpected declaration of war between AKP and the powerful Gulen Congregation may have only a marginal impact on AKP’s votes, but its psychological fallout on the conservative constituencies will be formidable.The Peace Process with Kurds is put on ice, with BDP-PKK expected to pursue an animated campaign to raise BDP votes a...

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