Despite Lula's edge the election is likely to be tight and other weekly topics

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 20 Jan 2026 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

Two new presidential succession polls will be released this week, one by AtlasIntel and another by Instituto Futura. The World Economic Forum takes place in Davos, Switzerland, without the meaningful participation of Brazilian authorities. The European Parliament is set to vote on two proposals requesting that the Court of Justice of the European Union assess the legal foundations of the agreement signed with Mercosur.

This week's Talking Points:

Disputes within Bolsonarismo benefit Lula.

The government's electoral initiatives.

Despite Lula's edge, the election is likely to be tight.

The political future of presidential-hopeful governors.

Vetoes signal new disputes and likely defeats for the government in 2026...

...but the government and Congress may converge on some issues.

Now read on...

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