Brazil Presidential Election

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 10 Oct 2014 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha
Datafolha and Ibope: Aécio and Dilma Tied Aécio Neves (PSDB) and Dilma Rousseff (PT) are technically tied in the first Datafolha and Ibope polls.However, the PSDB candidate has the numerical advantage (2 percentage points). The race is close, but these early moments favor Aécio for the following reasons: 1) He is numerically ahead of Dilma; 2) He leads in more regions; 3) His support grew more than Dilma’s from the 1st to the 2nd round, aside from his obtaining crucial party support; and 4) He has a lower rejection rating. Between the 1st and 2nd rounds, Aécio gained 17.45 percentage points...

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