CBRT Report: Buying Time, But For What?

TURKEY - Report 01 Nov 2017 by Murat Ucer

The CBRT has released this year's final Inflation Report today. The 2017 year-end estimate was revised upwards by 1.1 percentage points (pps) to 9.8% (midpoint of a band between 9.3% and 10.3%), from the previous report’s estimate, which, notably, is also higher than the 9.5% estimate in the latest Medium Term Program (MTP). In line with the MTP, the Bank also raised the end-2018 inflation estimate to 7% (midpoint of a band between 5.5% and 8.5%) from 6.4% in the previous report. Inflation is expected to decelerate to the official target of 5% in the medium term.

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