Changing the Cabinet?

UKRAINE - In Brief 16 Feb 2016 by Dmytro Boyarchuk
Today will be the moment of truth for the Cabinet of Aresniy Yatsenyuk. Prime-minister will be reporting to MPs for achievements of his Cabinet for the last year and parliament either approves the report or dismisses the Cabinet. The voting will be in the context of severe corruption scandal triggered by resignation of Minister of Economy Ayvaras Abromavichus who publicly blamed crony of Petro Poroshenko in corruption. The situation is aggravated by tough position of western partners (including the IMF) that demand anti-corruption measures to continue cooperation (i.e. funding). Yesterday’s resignation of Deputy Chief Prosecutor Vitaliy Kasko, who was believed to run some reforms at the Prosecutors' office, only added fuel to the fire. Against this backdrop political elites are trying to find a way out without losing their rents as well as preserving western support. The solution that western partners (as well as civil society) see is the appointment of the Cabinet of technocrats with Natalie Jaresko as the prime-minister at the new Cabinet. In this case Poroshenko will have political support both from donors and Ukrainian opinion leaders. But this solution is not good for majority of MPs since Jaresko sooner or later will cut off large part of rent they enjoy for the moment. At the same time appointment of another ‘supervisor’ over the rent flow will not be acceptable for the IMF and other donors. Thus political elites and Poroshenko now are facing a real dilemma. Either to go forward with real reforms and lose huge cash flows or to keep ‘poker face’ and leave it as it is risking to repeat ‘career’ of their predecessors. We do not know what will be the final choice of...

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