Deux Ex Machina for Nation Alliance, Final Battle for Erdogan

TURKEY - In Brief 06 Mar 2023 by Atilla Yesilada
It has been a very eventful day for Turkey, the nomination of Kemal Kilicdaroglu as the joint presidential candidate of the reunited Nation Alliance (NA) being only one. Earlier in the day, Saudi Arabia deposited $5 bn with CBRT, somewhat reducing the likelihood of a currency shock before the elections. Just before NA throned Kilicdaroglu as its candidate, President Erdogan officially called for dual elections on 14 May, the countdown for which shall start on 10 March, when he shall abolish the Grand Assembly. I leave the question of why Meral Aksener first abandoned and then chose to reunite with NA to political forensics experts, except to say that the face-saving solution was ingenious. Her favored candidates, CHP mayors Yavas and Imamoglu shall be appointed as VPs if Kilicdaroglu win the presidency. Along with its nominee, the NA also unveiled a road map to governance. Leaders of all member parties shall also become VPs, while at least one Cabinet minister will be allocated in the same manner. The rest of the Cabinet will be chosen according to the ratio of votes the parties receive in general elections. The road map also sketches out a power-sharing mechanism between the presidency and constituent parties, where major decisions such as renewal of elections, declaration of State of Emergency and appointments to top civil service posts will be taken in consultation. Immediately after Kilicdaroglu’s nomination, pro-Kurdish Rights Party HDP declared that it may not field a presidential candidate if Kilicdaroglu pays it an official visit, which strengthens my conviction that Kilicdaroglu has better-than-even odds to beat Erdogan in the run-off. If pro-opposition media ...

Now read on...

Register to sample a report

Register
Sign-in
Forgot your password?
Copyright 2024 GlobalSource Partners. All rights reserved. This is prepared for GlobalSource Partners’ clients and may not be redistributed, reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, retransmitted or disclosed, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of GlobalSource Partners. This is distributed simultaneously to our website and other portals used by GlobalSource Partners. The information herein was obtained from various sources and is believed to be reliable but GlobalSource Partners does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Neither GlobalSource Partners nor any Country Analyst, officer or employee accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect or consequential damages or losses rising from any use of this or its contents.