Economic contraction in Q4 apparently less than expected

ISRAEL - In Brief 23 Jan 2024 by Jonathan Katz

The Composite State of the Economy Index increased by 0.4 percent in December—reflecting the economy’s gradual recovery from the impact of the war. The war continued in December, but its impact on activity continued to weaken. It is interesting to note, that the Composite Index, which is co-incident indicator tracking business sector GDP, increased by 9% SAAR in Q4, a low print relative to market expectations. The level of the index in December is only 1.7% below pre-war. Assuming this recovery continues, this will support GDP growth and therefore tax revenues, limiting the fiscal deficit and the amount of bond issuance as well.

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