Eduardo Cunha resigns

BRAZIL POLITICS - In Brief 07 Jul 2016 by Murillo de Aragão
Earlier this afternoon, Eduardo Cunha (PMDB-RJ) resigned from the presidency of the House of Representatives. Below is an analysis of the consequences of his decision. Disbarment The likelihood is that the case against him, which calls for his disbarment as a congressman, will continue to progress. The resignation creates an important political fact, and Eduardo Cunha may have bought some time. He may even obtain a favorable decision on his appeal in the Constitution and Justice Committee. But in the Ethics Council and on the House floor, his situation remains dire. New elections The internal rules of the House of Representatives state that if there is a vacancy in the presidency of the House, a new election takes place in up to five congressional sessions. In other words, his successor may be selected next week. The vote is via secret ballot, and the winner must have the support of an absolute majority in the House (257 votes). Whoever is elected will remain president of the House until February 2017, when another election will take place. Re-election is not permitted. Successors The House is divided. Some rumored names are Esperidião Amim (PP-SC), Heráclito Fortes (PSB-PI), Osmar Serraglio (PMDB-PR), Beto Mansur (PRB-SP), Hugo Leal (PSB-RJ) and Rodrigo Maia (DEM-RJ), among others. They are all legislators who have a positive relationship with Michel Temer. It is unlikely that Cunha’s successor will be from the opposition. Government Cunha’s resignation is positive for the government. The House lacks a leader and proper interlocution. The presidency was being alternated between Waldir Maranhão (PP-MA), Beto Mansur (PRB-SP) and Giacobo (PR-PR).

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