En route to the second round

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 09 Oct 2018 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

As per our expectations, the second round of the presidential elections will be a runoff between Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) and Fernando Haddad (PT). There were no surprises, despite expectations (30% likelihood) that Bolsonaro could win in the first round, or that Ciro Gomes (PDT) would substantially improve his performance. The trends that held before the first round were confirmed.

This week’s Talking Points:
• En route to the second round
• Profiles – Bolsonaro vs. Haddad
• “Blue” Brazil vs. “Red” Brazil
• A new Senate
• Governability in the Senate and in the Lower House
• Allies in the second round
• Fragmentation of parties in state governments

Now read on...

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