Everything, everywhere, all up in the air

TURKEY - Report 16 Apr 2023 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada

The politics author’s strong conviction about a Kilicdaroglu victory in the presidential ballot is confirmed by more data, but the parliamentary race is up in the air -- and could go either way at this juncture, in terms of the number of seats the alliances might score. Worse, the uncertainty about the control of the Grand Assembly may last until May 15, or even longer, if one or both rivals challenge the outcome.

We also delve into how a hung parliament coupled with a Kilicdaroglu presidency would operate. In a nutshell, the Nation Alliance can get most of its economic agenda accomplished but it will need steadfast loyalty from the Green Left (formerly HDP) led alliance and to rely -- more than it promised -- on Kilicdaroglu exercising executive powers.

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