First cut on the Mexican mid-term elections

MEXICO - In Brief 08 Jun 2015 by Esteban Manteca

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The government seems to have won the midterm referendum. The Electoral Institute did a good job in organising the elections, amid problems in Guerrero and Oaxaca In the races for nine governor mansions, the three main parties seem to win something. The recent figure of an "independent candidate" seems to have won in Nuevo León. Mexican mid terms finished today with what seems to be a happy note for President Peña Nieto's government. Official preliminary data shows the following results: the government's party, the PRI would get 29.87-30.85%; the PAN, with a vote share of 21.47-22.20% remains firmly in second place; the PRD is the largest party in the left, with 11.14-11.81%; Morena, the party of the former presidential candidate, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, reached a record share for a party that presents itself for the first time to the midterms of 8.80-9.15%; the Green Party, longtime ally of the PRI, would get 7.15-7.55%; MC, 6.21-7.43%; PANAL 3.88-4.14%; only one or two of the smallest parties might lose its registry. (Official data, since it is preliminary data, is shown in intervals). With these results, the projected data for the Chamber of Deputies would produce the following distribution of seats: PAN 105-116 seats; PRI: 196-203; PRD: 51-60; PT 3-13 (likely to lose its registry), Green Party 41-48, Movimiento Ciudadano 24-29; New Alliance (the teachers' union party) 9-12; Morena 34-40; Partido Humanista 0-1 (it will most likely lose its registry); Partido Encuentro Social 8-10; 1 independent candidate might reach a seat. Based on these results, the PRI could get a comfortable majority with its allies, the Green Party and the New Alliance party. The PAN kept i...