First Half Holds Clues to Governability

MEXICO - Report 13 Jan 2015 by Guillermo Valdes and Esteban Manteca

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Executive Summary The two events that will dominate political life in Mexico during the first half of the year are this June’s midterm congressional elections and simultaneous local races in 17 states, and the spring session of Congress with its huge backlog of crucial legislation. At a time when the Mexican economy has encountered new headwinds, we could see a deepening of the political crisis, with depressed voter turnout adding to the crisis of legitimacy of governing institutions; Congress and the June elections pose the opportunity to either mitigate or aggravate that crisis Despite th...