​GULF WEEKLY: US-Iran deal imminent, Covid surges in Bahrain, Oman’s EDO to raise $5bn

GULF COUNTRIES - Report 21 May 2021 by Justin Alexander

A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines:

* We now see the chances of a US-Iran deal by May 28 as close to 50%, and 80% by July.
* Bahrain’s Covid cases continued to rise s​harply despite its rapid vaccine rollout.
* Vaccinated Saudis were permitted to travel, including across the causeway to Bahrain.
* The Gulf states each responded to the Israeli-Palestinian clashes in very different ways.
* The IEA says no new oil and gas fields should be developed to reach net-zero by 2050.
* Qatar’s giant LNG expansion is discouraging projects elsewhere, including Canada’s Kitimat.
* Qatar’s cabinet approved a draft law for its first elections.
* Fitch affirmed Oman at BB- but maintained its negative outlook despite fiscal improvement.
* EDO won’t take over oil funding from the Omani government until the summer. The minister of oil also said that it will be raising $5bn in debt initially, more than expected.
* A giant green hydrogen project was proposed in Oman but is a long way from being realized.
* Lebanon’s foreign minister resigned after making negative comments about the Gulf states.
* Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, two of Sudan’s largest creditors, supported efforts towards HIPC relief.

Now read on...

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