Politics: More poll numbers ahead of 2024 and turbulence within the opposition camp

MEXICO - Report 26 Sep 2022 by Guillermo Valdes and Francisco González

We are following up on last week’s introduction to the latest GEA-ISA quarterly poll of registered voters with a few more results that shed further light on the voting preferences of a public that is growing increasingly critical of current policy and pessimistic about the direction the country is headed in and yet continues to approve of the job the president is doing.
Voters appear increasingly supportive of the idea of an opposition alliance even as such a generic coalition is growing less competitive due to the extent to which many of its leading parties and politicians have split over the support of government initiatives.

Months have gone by, and the opposition parties appear locked into some political stasis, none having done much of anything to dig themselves out of the hole they are in following their respective debacles in the June 2018 election when they were given up for dead by many observers. That political quagmire seems to be worsening with a lot of help from AMLO himself, who is driving more and more wedges not only between opposition parties but within them as well.

AMLO's clearest success of late has been to lure the head of a deeply divided PRI to back a proposal to keep the military engaged in policing the country at least through 2028, something that all three coalition partners had originally defined as a proposal they would fight against. When the PRI leader signaled his support for such a measure, the PAN and PRD said they would break with the PRI if it pursued that course. Now PAN and PRD senators are exploring the possibility of reaching a compromise on this issue.

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