Politics: Morena seeks to shore up its support and internal organization ahead of 2024

MEXICO - Report 01 Aug 2022 by Guillermo Valdes and Francisco González

Riding high on President Andrés Lopez Obrador’s popularity, his Morena party is doing everything possible well ahead of the 2024 elections to shore up its internal organization, put its house in order and be in the best possible condition to ride to victory at the polls. There are several pillars to this strategy. These include an early definition of who the presidential candidate will be, mobilization of party supporters early in the process, renewing the party’s leadership on a state and national level and mounting strong campaigns in the two gubernatorial races on the ballot next year – the State of Mexico and Coahuila - as a dress rehearsal for 2024.

Much of this constitutes actually launching primary campaigns, in violation of existing electoral regulations. This has translated into a conflict between, on one hand, AMLO, Morena and the party’s unofficial pre-candidates and legislative caucus leaders, and on the other, the National Electoral Institute and the Federal Electoral Tribunal, backed by all the opposition parties.

While the electoral authorities have handed down rulings and warnings, their most potent weapon to dissuade AMLO and his party could be the possibility of disqualifying the Morena presidential standard bearer in 2024 if that candidate is found to have previously broken election laws. However, many Morena leaders and some presidential hopefuls such as Minister of the Interior Adán Augusto López do not seem overly concerned, since their plan is to approve an electoral reform that would radically alter the INE, subject its board members to popular vote, and put the institute under de facto control of the president.

For now, Morena is moving according to plan. Its district assemblies on July 30 and 31 selected delegates who will, in turn, elect new state leaderships in August and vote in the national congress in September, at which a new National Council and National Executive Committee will be chosen. The process is expected to further consolidate the position of party president Mario Delgado, whose post will not be up for re-election in the national congress, thereby guaranteeing his continuity.

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