OFZ: Retail flows to support the market

RUSSIA ECONOMICS - Report 02 Jan 2020 by Alexander Kudrin and Evgeny Gavrilenkov

The deceleration of inflation in Russia pushed down interest rates across the economy, including those of banking deposits. This trend has already fueled the demand of private individuals for financial markets, as they have already opened more than 3 mln accounts at the Moscow Exchange. We see high chances for this trend to continue in 2020. The OFZ market is likely to be among the key beneficiaries of the relocation of funds from the banking sector to financial markets. According to our estimates, total demand from private individuals for ruble sovereigns may reach R300-350 bln in 2020, which will support the Finance Ministry’s borrowing activity.

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