Polling Institutes Disagree; Presidential Race Still Open

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 25 Oct 2014 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

The second round between Dilma Rousseff (PT) and Aécio Neves (PSDB) is completely open.Today, five polls were released (Ibope, Datafolha, MDA, Sensus and Vox Populi).Dilma is in the lead according to Ibope and Vox Populi.Datafolha presents a technical tie, with a slight lead for Dilma.MDA and Sensus show Aécio in the lead. TABLE 1 Presidential electionDespite the fact that Dilma leads beyond the margin of error in the Ibope poll and that she is numerically ahead in the Datafolha poll, some events from the last two days tend to show that tomorrow’s presidential election is too close to call:...

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