Radical uncertainty is the only certainty

TURKEY - Report 26 Jun 2022 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada

At the end of a week of hectic diplomatic visits and contacts, the Erdogan regime has little to show for. Ankara is certain to block NATO enlargement, while for reasons that are hard to fathom for us, the Syrian military campaign appears to have been put on hold.

At home, even AKP backbenchers rebelled against a social media bill, which aims to filter all dissident content with prison penalties. A reasonable theory about elections being scheduled for May 14, 2023, has surfaced, but the politics author suspects even President Erdogan and his sidekick Mr. Bahceli probably don’t know what to do with them.

The opposition is reportedly working on dividing up the Cabinet seats among parties and deciding on names who will occupy top bureaucratic positions. It leads in both parliamentary and presidential polls, but the decisive break for it -- in terms of putting serious distance between itself and AKP-MHP -- will not arrive before October-November.

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