Rate hike likely at the end of May

ISRAEL - Report 01 Apr 2019 by Jonathan Katz

Most economic indicators point to some acceleration of growth in Q1 2019, to 3.5%-4% saar. This is above Israel's growth potential, estimated at 2.7% by the Bank of Israel. Inflation is expected to accelerate to 1.6% y/y in April (from the current 1.2%), making a rate hike on May 28 increasingly likely. Politics: Eight days before elections, it appears that Netanyahu will be able to form a narrow right wing/religious coalition, but fiscal consolidation may be problematic.

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