Russia Enlargement

RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - Report 04 Apr 2014 by Alexey Dolinskiy

Russia has made a dramatic foreign policy turn, disregarding all previously valued compromises with the West, by including the Crimean peninsula in the Russian Federation despite the objections of the Ukrainian leadership, the EU and the US. This will also impact Russia’s relations with Asia as it makes Russia more dependent on China than previously and may create an obstacle to further developing Eurasian integration because Belarus and Kazakhstan can now see a potential threat in Russia.

Broad public support in Russia for the Crimean policy has boosted Putin’s support and created favorable conditions for suppressing the opposition, which can now easily be labeled as traitors for not supporting the country during a time of hardship.

Adapting the Crimean governance system to Russian laws and improving the quality of life there will become a project of national importance. This has already been given top priority, with one of Putin’s key people appointed to oversee it.

Russians are largely unafraid of current or potential sanctions. None of the economic or political measures currently under discussion by the West appear significant enough for Russians to oppose the inclusion of Crimea in the Russian Federation.

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