Synthesis of the Brazilian Economy

BRAZIL ECONOMICS - Report 01 Aug 2022 by Affonso Pastore, Cristina Pinotti, Paula Magalhães and Diego Brandao

If the election were held today, Lula would win in the first round with 52% of the votes versus Bolsonaro with 32% according to the most recent Datafolha survey. Much can change in the 60 remaining days, but as things stand now, Lula has a commanding lead. In the international arena, after five months of the war in Ukraine, no solution is in sight, with both sides having suffered important setbacks. The world is waiting for the resumption of grain exports through Ukrainian ports on the Black Sea to avoid a food crisis, especially in Africa. The war’s effects on the prices of energy and food continue to stimulate inflation, prompting elevation of interest rates and deceleration of growth, with economic and political impacts around the world.

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