The 2022 ANC Elective Congress and Its Emerging Possible Outcomes

SOUTH AFRICA - In Brief 15 Aug 2022 by Iraj Abedian
As mentioned in our previous reports, 2022 is a critical year for SA’s democratic political evolution. The governing party, The African National Congress (ANC), is heading for its all-important December 2022 National Elective Congress at which the Party’s new leadership structures and its “presidential candidate” for 2024 national elections will be determined. In the run up to the December Congress, the ANC Provincial Elective Congresses (PECs) have been taking place since March 2022. So far, 6 of the 9 Provincial Congresses have been concluded, the latest one this past weekend at the North West Province. The general thread running through these PECs has been a blend of tragedy and public display of organizational chaos. Tragedy in the sense that ANC- Africa’s oldest liberation movement and since 1994, South Africa’s undisputed dominant political force- has now fallen into disorganization and disarray. The public display of ill-discipline, poor organizational capacity, faction fights and crass expressions of self-interests by a diverse network of “political groupings” within the Party does not instill confidence and public trust in the Party. And, to top it all, some of the prominent National Executive Committee members of the ANC and an ex-Minister were deeply implicated in the Zondo Report and yet they remain visible in the Provincial Congresses, pretending as if all is forgotten. The over-riding interest in these not-so-professional PECs, however, is the outcome of each in terms of the indication of support for the Ramaphosa Camp or the Anti-Ramaphosa Camp (referred to as the Radical Economic Transformation (RET) Camp). Curiously, at this point in time, it is not cl...

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