The latest poll shows the race is statistically tied, Lula was interviewed on Jornal Nacional last night, and today Congress will enact the 6x1 proposal

BRAZIL POLITICS - Report 16 Oct 2026 by Murillo de Aragão and Cristiano Noronha

Ten days before the runoff, the Datafolha poll released last night (Oct. 15) shows Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) with 51% of valid votes, compared with 49% for Lula (PT). With a two-point margin of error, the race is statistically tied. A week ago, the gap was four points: 52% to 48%. In his interview with Jornal Nacional yesterday, Lula delivered a reasonable performance. He appeared more open to being challenged, but failed to achieve his strategic objective of winning over undecided voters and peeling support away from Flávio. To contain the political damage on public security, voters’ top concern, he defended lowering the age of criminal responsibility for heinous crimes, an issue that divides the PT. This morning Congress will formally enact the constitutional amendment ending the six-days-on, one-day-off (6x1) work schedule (PEC 221/19), with Lula in attendance. The proposal reduces the standard workweek to 40 hours.

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