The limits of disinflation and the challenge of growth with one year to the 2027 presidential election

ARGENTINA - Report 20 Oct 2026 by Joaquin Cottani

With one year remaining until the presidential election on October 24, 2027, and roughly ten months until the mandatory primary elections (PASO) that will define party candidates, the window to reverse the modest results of the economic program—in terms of activity and inflation—is narrow. The government is facing one of its most difficult periods since the crisis ahead of last year’s midterm elections, with a string of weak economic data, particularly on GDP and employment, and a rising country risk premium. Finance Minister Caputo has pursued some growth-supporting initiatives, such as the indirect use of FGS assets to finance mortgages, but these remain modest and slow to mature.

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