Trade deficit widens, CA surplus expected to contract this year

ISRAEL - Report 14 May 2018 by Jonathan Katz

Macro fundamentals are less shekel supportive due to a shrinking CA surplus (growing trade deficit). In March, Israeli institutions increased their demand for FX by 1.3bn USD. We expect inflation to reach 0.4% m/m in April and 0.5% m/m in May (mostly seasonal as well as some shekel weakness and higher petrol prices).

Politics: This week could see some escalation in violence due to the move of the American Embassy to Jerusalem and the Palestinian Nakba Day.

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