UK Prime Minister in Kyiv

RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 12 Jan 2024 by Alex Teddy

On January 12 Sunak made the unannounced visit. Like most leaders, he crossed the border from Poland and travelled by train. Sunak announced an aid package of USD 3.2 billion for 2024. This is USD 250 million more than 2023. Bear in mind that with inflation this is a small increase on 2023. British aid is mostly drones—sea drones, long-range drones and surveillance drones. London said this will be the largest delivery of drones Ukraine has ever received. Most of them will be British made. The UK and Ukraine signed an agreement on security cooperation. This includes intelligence sharing. Sunak reaffirmed that British policy is for Ukraine to join NATO when the time is right. Implicitly, this means not while Ukraine is in a conflict against Russia. But given that whenever the war ends Russia will almost certainly still occupy at least some Ukrainian land and there would be a frozen conflict it is hard to see when it would ever be safe for NATO to let Ukraine join. Ukraine and the United Kingdom are keen to say that military aid to Ukraine is continuing. There is a risk for Ukraine that its Western allies may think that Ukraine is a lost cause. Ukraine wants to keep the war in the headlines. Western public interest in the war is dipping. 

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