Ukraine War situation

RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS - In Brief 12 Jul 2022 by Alex Teddy
Russia is bombarding Sloviansk in east Ukraine. Mostly, Russia is regrouping after taking Lysychansk. Russia appears to have learnt from its mistakes in February and March. Its strategy is now bite and hold. It concentrates overwhelming firepower on one area for as long as it takes to break the enemy in the sector of the front. The artillery obliterates the enemy. Only then do the infantry and armor advance. The logistical problems that dogged Russia in the spring have been resolved. As the ground is dry the tanks and trucks can go off road without any risk of being stuck in the mud. Russia has a 10:1 advantage in artillery. The Ukrainians have 12 HIMARS (high mobility rocket artillery  systems) supplied by NATO. HIMARS are extremely accurate in their rockets have a range of 70 km. This is longer than Russian rocket range. The Ukrainians have used them against Russian ammunition dumps and command centers. The Russian state media and military have occasionally blurted out that this is having an effect. But Ukraine needs far more HIMARS to change the course of the war. NATO has refused to provide Ukraine with very long range rockets that could reach deep into Russia. That is seen as too provocative. The US has insisted that HIMARS not be used to fire into Russia. Ukraine's counterattack near Kherson has stalled.  The Ukrainians have fired other weapons into Russia and Ukrainian Special Forces have conducted raids into Russia. But these have had minimal impact. Kyiv is talking about building a million strong army. As the country has over ten million military age males this is feasible. Ukrainians troops are being trained in NATO countries. Kyiv says by autumn the army wil...

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