Weekly Tracker: February 8-14

TURKEY - Report 08 Feb 2015 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada
Executive Summary President Erdogan says he is receiving death threats from alleged members of the Gulen Organization and we believe him. An assassination attempt will have disastrous consequences for Turkish politics and economic confidence since it will bring Turkey to war footing. According to reliable sources, Ankara and Ocalan may be at the verge of a deal that may result in permanent ceasefire in the Kurdish Southeast. We find the reporting credible, yet the deal is unlikely to solve Kurdish problems, or stop what we fear may become mass protests by spring. Erdogan has urged his trust...

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