Weekly Tracker: June 14-20

TURKEY - Report 14 Jun 2015 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada

Executive Summary An air of unreality surrounds the nation, with pundits trying to convince us that coalition formation would be easy, as parties shut the door to any compromise. Unless reality sets in and each party makes very unpleasant sacrifices, early elections are more likely. We shall get the first clues as to what type of coalition is possible during the election of the Speaker of the Grand Assembly. We still bet on a CHP minority government, but definitely don't rule out early elections.We agree with the consensus view on the CBRT – that, ironically, the CBRT has now a somewhat fre...

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