Weekly Tracker: June 8-14

TURKEY - Report 08 Jun 2014 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada
Executive Summary AKP’s bold attempt to reinvigorate the Peace Process with Kurds replaced the Presidential Elections as the top item on the Turkish agenda. While the effort is commendable and potentially lucrative in terms of Kurdish votes, it is open to sabotage by PKK and to mishandling. Fearing a conservative-Islamist backlash, we keep the odds of Erdogan winning the presidential race at 65% even though at least one poll suggests that he will win easily in the first round. As the date of the elections approaches, AKP is discovering the weakness of the model proposed by Erdogan: an infor...

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