Weekly Tracker: March 16-22

TURKEY - Report 16 Mar 2014 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada
Executive Summary By taunting his detractors even at their saddest moments, PM Erdogan is inviting a Gezi-II after the March local elections. Meanwhile, the KCK, the pro-secessionist Kurdish umbrella organization, announced that it would no longer negotiate with AKP to settle the Kurdish problem. The only new poll by Gezici Research finds AKP slipping below 40%; yet, we insist on the party scoring 41-44%, which will not resolve the political infighting in Turkey. Growth indicators continue to baffle us, like the resilience in the latest IP data, but we think past is no good guide for the fu...

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