Politics: What the June 4 election results mean for each party and the 2024 elections
Despite having held on to Coahuila, perhaps the biggest loser on June 4 was the PRI, which will no longer govern the State of Mexico for the first time in 96 years. There is no getting around public perceptions of the party as having become practically irrelevant nationally, having seen its erstwhile dominance of state governments reduced to a mere two (Coahuila and Durango). This image as a party in freefall has been significantly magnified by the bad reputation of its national leader, who has tightened and extended for another year his control over the organization.
Running in the Va por México alliance alongside the PRI and PRD, the PAN saw its vote in Coahuila plummet 77%, and even in the State of Mexico it came in well below what it had projected, while the PRD’s share of that vote plunged 83%. If the coalition wants to be competitive next year, it will have to thoroughly evaluate what happened in those two elections and make the pertinent corrections.
After picking up the State of Mexico this month, Morena now governs 23 of the country’s 32 states and around 90 million of the almost 130 million people in Mexico. Public opinion still leans López Obrador’s way, but there are still reasons to doubt the general perception that Morena is now invincible.
Both camps are now gearing up to choose their presidential nominees, with Morena likely to be the first to announce its list of registered candidates in the coming days. The coalition is facing a much more complicated task as all three parties, as well as opposition civil society groups, have very different approaches to candidate selection in mind.
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