When the rubber meets the road

TURKEY - Report 14 Jul 2024 by Murat Ucer and Atilla Yesilada

The politics section of this Weekly Tracker is rather brief and to a large extent repetitive, because the author managed to catch pneumonia for the third summer in a row. The bulk of it is a refresher on Erdogan’s candidacy status -- and how this relates to early elections. In a nutshell, the author claims that Erdogan needs to bargain with CHP leader Ozel for early elections, if he wants to be eligible for presidency for a third time. Read on, there is a Shyamalan twist at the end.

The rather modest analytical essay of the politics section predicts that this fortnight is the “do or die” time for Minister Simsek’s Economic Stabilization Program. Erdogan needs to stand firm on the Tax Package and against the rebellion in his ranks for more pay hikes for retirees. Will he say, “no pain, no gain” or “no pain, no pain”?

Now read on...

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