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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank May 3
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Brazil Economics databank Apr 17
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Central America databank May 9
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Chile databank Apr 4
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank May 3
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 15
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 10
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Hungary databank Apr 18
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India databank Apr 22
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Mexico databank Mar 28
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Panama databank Feb 2
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Peru databank Mar 27
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Philippines databank May 9
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Russia Economics databank Apr 11
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South Africa databank May 3
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Turkey databank Mar 6
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Ukraine databank Feb 12
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Uruguay databank Mar 27
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Venezuela databank May 6
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - CAUCASUS AND CENTRAL ASIA: ECONOMIC UPSWINGS AND POL...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Unlocking the grain corridor
UKRAINE · Report · 27 Sep 2023
Provisional reports suggest that the main Russian defense line has been breached to the north of Tokmak. Fighting continues, but the redeployment of competent Russian paratrooper divisions from other front sectors to the Tokmak area clearly signifies a crisis there. Meanwhile, in sectors stripped...
European Commission considers opening accession talks with Ukraine: a major boost for the embattled nation
UKRAINE · In Brief · 23 Sep 2023
Bloomberg has reported that the European Commission is likely to recommend opening accession negotiations with Ukraine by the end of 2023. If this information is confirmed, it will be exceptionally positive news and a significant boost for Ukraine. Although Ukraine was granted candidate status in...
Spending plan 2024: assuming a narrower deficit amid dominating uncertainty
UKRAINE · In Brief · 17 Sep 2023
On September 15, the Cabinet submitted the draft for the 2024 spending plan to the parliament. The design of the 2024 spending plan closely mirrors what we observed last year. The authorities anticipate active military action continuing until mid-2024, leading to a planned reduction in defense sp...
The NBU cuts the prime rate by an extra 2 ppt down to 20%
UKRAINE · In Brief · 14 Sep 2023
In August, with inflation easing to +8.6% y/y, strong gross international reserves at $40.4 billion (equivalent to 5.4 months of future imports), and a relatively stable FX market, all signs indicated that the NBU Board would cut the prime rate again in September. Experts had anticipated a 2 ppt ...
President Zelenskiy Replaces Minister of Defense to Ease Tensions
UKRAINE · In Brief · 04 Sep 2023
The news about the replacement of Minister of Defense Oleksiy Reznikov dominated the headlines yesterday. This serves as an excellent example of how the reputation of a corrupt country can have negative repercussions at the most inopportune times. Since the beginning of 2023, Oleksiy Reznikov has...
Disrupting the corridor to Crimea
UKRAINE · Report · 28 Aug 2023
The battle for the South remains a primary focus. As of this writing, Ukrainian forces are advancing at a measured pace, having breached the Russians' first line of defense, and are currently making progress through the main fortifications near Tokmak. To observers, this pace might seem underwhel...
The NBU starts easing cycle, cuts prime rate by 3 ppt to 22%
UKRAINE · In Brief · 27 Jul 2023
The recovering economy, slowing inflation, and stabilized FX market have prompted the NBU Board to initiate an easing cycle, beginning with a prime rate cut of 3 ppt, down to 22%. This marks the first rate cut since the large-scale invasion began. The NBU also indicates that further easing is exp...
Building plans amid the fog of war
UKRAINE · Report · 25 Jul 2023
The counteroffensive did not yield significant gains in terrain for two months, sparking discussions about the operation's lackluster progress. However, measuring the progress of the counteroffensive solely in terms of square kilometers of liberated land is not the right approach. The Russians ha...
NATO Summit 2023 – mixed feelings but an apparent step forward
UKRAINE · In Brief · 13 Jul 2023
All the developments at the NATO Summit in Vilnius triggered multiple emotional reactions from Ukraine. It would be a stretch to say that Ukrainian authorities had a poor understanding of the unfolding events or held unrealistic expectations. However, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy did require som...
How is the battle progressing? Slowly, but with persistence.
UKRAINE · In Brief · 01 Jul 2023
My foreign friends often ask me about my impressions of the counter-offensive. A month has passed since the major battle was announced, but the situation looks unsettling, with no substantial territorial gains to show for it. All the reports from Russian military bloggers about the loss of Wester...
Kahovka Dam blast: If you lose, destroy everything
UKRAINE · In Brief · 06 Jun 2023
On the night of June 5th, the Russians destroyed the Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant dam. It is difficult for me to comment on how this incident might impact the ongoing counteroffensive. There may be some adjustments in plans and potential delays as a result. Crossing the Dnipro River to the ...
Time to return what belongs to us
UKRAINE · Report · 30 May 2023
The commander in chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, has shared a video on his social media accounts announcing that it’s time to reclaim what belongs to us. His message succinctly captures the essence of the current situation in Ukrainian society, both on the frontlin...
"Star Wars" in the Kyiv sky
UKRAINE · In Brief · 16 May 2023
The night of May 16th in Kyiv was somewhat noisy, and the sky resembled battle scenes from the "Expansion" series or "Star Wars". In the morning, we learned from official reports that the Ukrainian air defense successfully repelled one of the most intense air strikes witnessed during the ongoing ...
Hypersonic missile downed for the first time, early signs of unfolding counter-offensive
UKRAINE · In Brief · 06 May 2023
Today, we received official confirmation of a groundbreaking development: for the first time since the full-scale invasion began, Ukraine's air defense successfully intercepted and destroyed a Russian Kinzhal hypersonic missile. Russia possesses only a limited number of these hypersonic missiles ...
Decisive battle over Ukrainian south looms
UKRAINE · Report · 28 Mar 2023
The Russians failed to seize Bakhmut, despite the huge efforts they devoted to taking the town. The goal of Ukrainian forces was to exhaust the Russians as much as possible before the spring counter-offensive started. Sitting in defense in Bakhmut was a good position for the Ukrainian Army to cau...