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Budgetary performance seemingly improved in May
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 13 Jun 2023

Kazakhstan’s Deputy PM and Finance Minister, Mr. Erulan Zhamaubaev, reported at a government meeting today that the country’s state budget (i.e., the republican and local budgets combined) was in decent shape as in 5M23 it accumulated “over KZT8.0 trln of revenues” which appeared about 3% over th...

Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 02 Jun 2023

May 22 KMG: The company may increase dividends for 2022 by 50%, up to $669.2 mln KTZ: The company and one of the world's largest container port terminal operators PSA International (Singapore), launched a joint venture. Both companies will cooperate in the development of the Trans-Caspian route M...

Kazakhstan macro: government amends 2023 budget but not as much as in 2022
KAZAKHSTAN · Report · 30 May 2023

In April, the Kazakh government amended both local and republican budget expenditures as it raised the revenue outlook for this year. The country’s Ministry of Finance recently published budget execution statistics for 4M23, which looked decent even though the tax collection of the republican bud...

Budget deficit widens in April amid amendments and weak tax revenue flow
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 25 May 2023

In 4M23, the deficit of the republican budget reached KZT1.355 trln amid accelerated growth of expenditures. In 1Q23, this deficit accounted for KZT0.830 trln. Once again, the government amended the 2023 republican budget and increased its spending from KZT20.6 trln to KZT21.6 trln. This amount d...

Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary (Kazakhstan+)
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 19 May 2023

May 5 Azerbaijan: Gas supplies from Azerbaijan to Italy via the Trans-Adriatic Pipeline (TAP) increased in 1Q23 by 6.3% y-o-y to 2.4 bcm May 8 Uzbekistan: Early presidential elections are scheduled for June 9. May 10 Georgia: The country imported 41K tons of wheat in 1Q23 (+22.3% y-o-y) Georgia: ...

Kazakhstan macro: economic growth to surprise on the upside in 2023
KAZAKHSTAN · Report · 17 May 2023

The economic situation in Kazakhstan remained stable in April, and the economy continued to expand steadily as the short-term indicator (an aggregate measure of activity in industry, agriculture, construction, transport, trade, and communications) increased by 5.5% y-o-y in 4M23. In 1Q23 it was u...

Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 05 May 2023

Apr 21 KTZ: The company, the Russian Railways Logistics, and the Transport and Logistics Center of Turkmenistan signed a memorandum on the establishment of a JV for the development of the North-South corridor Samruk-Energo: The shortage of electric power in Kazakhstan by 2029 will reach 3 GW Apr ...

Kazakhstan macro: The transformation of foreign trade flows will gradually reshape the economy
KAZAKHSTAN · Report · 24 Apr 2023

The Kazakh economy continued to expand in 1Q23 as the short-term indicator grew 1Q23 by 5.1% y-o-y. Most domestically oriented manufacturing segments expanded rapidly in 1Q23, while export-oriented ones struggled to grow fast. Domestic demand continued to recover steadily as retail sales and inve...

Kazakhstan's sovereign debt market: positive vibes
KAZAKHSTAN · Report · 21 Apr 2023

In 1Q23, the Ministry of Finance fulfilled 25% of its annual plan for local bond issuance. We do not rule out that the National Bank may begin a rate-cut cycle amid decelerating inflation, which may fuel demand for long-term bonds in KZT. An essential feature of the borrowing program this year is...

Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 20 Apr 2023

Apr 10 KazTransOil: AD Ports Group (UAE) may contribute to an expansion of the production capacity of the Batumi Oil Terminal President: Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan have opportunities to increase mutual trade turnover to $1 bln (compared to about $0.5 bln in 2022) President: Mr. Tokayev discussed w...

Stable growth in 1Q23
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 18 Apr 2023

Kazakhstan’s Bureau of National Statistics reported that in 1Q23, the economy continued to expand at a decent pace. The short-term indicator grew in 1Q23 by 5.1% y-o-y. This indicator is a monthly measure of economic activity, which includes the six most important sectors that cover 60% of the co...

Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 07 Apr 2023

Mar 24 SOCAR: The Azerbaijani company has started the transit of Kazakh oil from Tengiz via the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan (BTC). The framework agreement between SOCAR and KMG assumes the transit of 1.5 mln tons of oil per year Mar 27 Government: Kazakhstan from April 1, 2023, introduces mandatory regis...

Solid budgetary performance in 2M23
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 27 Mar 2023

Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Finance reported that in 2M23, the country’s consolidated budget was in surplus equal to KZT695 bn, i.e., slightly above $1.5bn. This budget incorporates the Republican and local budgets, the National Fund, and state social funds (net of mutual transfers). Revenues of the...

Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 24 Mar 2023

Mar 13 S&P: Oil production in Kazakhstan in Feb amounted to 1.55 mbd, while the country quota within the OPEC+ deal, was 1.63 mbd S&P: The agency confirmed credit ratings of Samruk-Kazyna (BBB-) and its subsidiaries KEGOC (BB+), KMG (BB+), KazTransOil (BB+), and KTZ (BB), the outlook has been cha...

Kazakhstan macro: economic growth to remain stable in 2023
KAZAKHSTAN · Report · 22 Mar 2023

Two weeks ago, the National Bank of Kazakhstan published its bi-monthly monetary policy report and enclosed its updated macroeconomic forecast for 2023 and beyond. Apart from the usual baseline scenario, the regulator considered two others, the “optimistic” and the “pessimistic” scenarios. From t...

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