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New surveys on the Lula government to be released in the coming days, and Congress takes on tax and governance bills amid amnesty debates
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Mar 2025

Today, a new Atlasintel poll on the public approval of President Lula's government is expected to be released. The Speaker of the House, Hugo Motta (Republicanos-PB), may announce the rapporteur for the bill on income tax reform (PL 1087/25). In the House, the opposition is expected to continue p...

STF indicts Bolsonaro for alleged coup plot, Bolsonaro expected to ramp up political activity amid legal setbacks, and Lula's approval drops sharply as polls show he would lose in key 2026 matchups
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Mar 2025

As expected, the First Panel of the Federal Supreme Court accepted the indictment against former President Jair Bolsonaro and seven others accused of attempting a coup following the 2022 elections. Given the legal challenges he faces, Bolsonaro may be pressured to, even discreetly, begin building...

The consequences of the Federal Supreme Court’s First Chamber’s decision to make Bolsonaro a defendant
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Mar 2025

The First Chamber of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) has accepted the Prosecutor General's Office (PGR) complaint against former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and allies for allegedly attempting a coup d'état in 2022. From now on, they become defendants, which generates repercussions in the legal...

STF rejects defense motions and begins voting on Bolsonaro coup attempt case, Bolsonaro calls for April rally in São Paulo after Rio turnout falls short, and Federal Revenue estimates minimal impact of income tax reform on states and municipalities
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Mar 2025

The First Panel of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) is continuing the trial on the complaint filed by the Prosecutor General's Office (PGR) against former president Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and seven others accused of attempting a coup d’état following the 2022 elections. Yesterday, former President Ja...

The government considers bringing forward the 13th salary to regain popularity, the STF to deliberate on accepting charges against Bolsonaro for an alleged coup plot, INSS payroll loan rates are under review
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Mar 2025

The economic team is evaluating the possibility of advancing the payment of the 13th salary for retirees and pensioners in 2025. The request was made by the Ministry of Social Security, Carlos Lupi (PDT). Today, the First Panel of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) will begin deliberations on whethe...

The political impact of the income tax exemption and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Mar 2025

President Lula visits Japan and Vietnam throughout the week. The Supreme Federal Court (STF) will decide whether to accept the charges against former President Jair Bolsonaro and other defendants accused of attempting a coup d'état. The 2025 Budget may be sent for presidential sanction. This w...

2025 Federal Budget approved, Lula visits Japan and Vietnam to boost strategic trade deals, and the STF to review coup attempt charges
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Mar 2025

The Federal Budget for 2025 was finally approved. The final version of the text is being prepared so it can be sent for presidential approval. According to the Constitution, the president has 15 working days to sanction the budget after receiving the text. President Lula is currently on an offici...

Congress approves 2025 budget, Lula travels to Japan and Vietnam to boost trade and strategic partnerships, and STF is set to rule on Bolsonaro coup charges
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Mar 2025

The National Congress has finally approved the 2025 Annual Budget Law (LOA). The text is the substitute bill bySenator Ângelo Coronel (PSD-BA), the rapporteur of the matter. The budget allocates approximately R$ 50 billion in congressional amendments. This Saturday, President Lula will travel to ...

Tax exemption bill faces opposition regarding compensatory measures, and congressional deadlines, interest rate hike, and committee elections mark the legislative agenda
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Mar 2025

While it would likely be difficult to vote against the bill that grants an income tax exemption for those earning up to R$ 5,000 per month, in the opposition the main criticism concerns the compensatory measures, which include a tax increase for those earning over R$ 50,000 per month. As expected...

The government sends the income tax exemption bill to Congress, compensatory measures spark debate as Congress reviews income tax reform, and the Senate approves reciprocity bill against trade barriers and tax increases
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Mar 2025

The government, as previously announced, has sent to the National Congress a bill granting an income tax exemption for individuals earning up to R$ 5,000 per month. To offset the measure, which will have a fiscal cost of R$ 27 billion, the government proposed taxing those earning more than R$ 50,...

Lula signs bill for income tax exemption up to R$ 5,000, Senate Committee to review the IBS Management Bill as tax reform advances, and Minister Silveira announces the E30 fuel proposal and energy reform timeline
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Mar 2025

President Lula signs the bill that provides for an income tax (IR) exemption for individuals earning up to R$ 5,000 per month at an event scheduled for this morning at the Planalto Palace. Notably, PLP 108/2024, the bill addressing the IBS Management Committee and regulating tax reform, has final...

Ministerial reform ahead of 2026 and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Mar 2025

The government may send Congress a proposal for an income tax exemption for those earning up to R$ 5,000. Congress may finally vote on the 2025 Budget. In the Lower House, the installation of permanent committees is expected. The Central Bank holds its second meeting of the year to decide the ben...

The Joint Budget Committee will vote on the report on Wednesday, the government should send a bill exempting individuals earning up to R$ 5,000 from income tax, and the Monetary Policy Committee will meet this week to decide on the interest rate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Mar 2025

The Joint Budget Committee will meet on Wednesday (March 19) to vote on Senator Angelo Coronel's (PSD-BA) report on the 2025 Federal Budget. Tomorrow, the government is expected to send Congress a bill exempting individuals earning up to R$ 5,000 from income tax (IR). Currently, only those earnin...

41% of Brazilians rate Lula’s administration poorly, the STF should analyze the indictment against Bolsonaro for the alleged attempted coup on March 25, and Congress may approve the 2025 Federal Budget next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Mar 2025

An Ipsos-Ipec poll released yesterday shows that President Lula’s (PT) administration is considered bad or very bad by 41% of Brazilians. According to the polling institute, the negative ratings (bad or very bad) has increased by seven percentage points compared to the December poll. The presiden...

A Provisional Measure was published addressing payroll-deductible credit for private sector workers, the government requested changes to the Annual Budget Law, and the Camex may meet to approve import tax changes on some foods
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Mar 2025

Yesterday, a Provisional Measure was published addressing payroll-deductible credit for private sector workers. On March 21, workers will be able to access the Digital Work Card app and request credit proposals from government-approved financial institutions. Yesterday, the federal government req...

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