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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

Lula will meet with Senate leaders this week to improve their relationship, mayors will hold a demonstration in Brasilia in defense of payroll tax reduction, and the CCJ is expected to discuss the new Electoral Code
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Mar 2024

On Tuesday, March 5, President Lula will meet with the president of the Senate, Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD-MG), and party leaders. The objective of the meeting is to improve the relationship between the Executive Office and the National Congress. On Wednesday, March 6, the National Confederation of Mun...

The IBGE published the GDP at 2.9% for 2023, city halls will hold a demonstration in Brasilia next week in support of the payroll tax exemption, and the Senate discusses changes to electoral legislation
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Mar 2024

Today’s highlight is the publication of the GDP result, which was reported by the IBGE at 2.9% for 2023. The result strengthens Minister Fernando Haddad in the government and increases his prestige within the National Congress. The National Confederation of Municipalities is organizing a demonstr...

The government submitted a payroll tax bill to Congress, Pacheco will meet with Senator Barros to discuss the carbon credit market bill, and Lula is expected to meet with Senate leaders next week to improve their relationship
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Feb 2024

Yesterday, the government submitted a payroll tax bill to Congress. The text will replace the provisional measure (MP) that was issued in December last year and was poorly received among legislators. Pacheco also stated that he has a meeting in the next few days with Senator Leila Barros (PDT-DF)...

Lula signed a provisional measure that revokes the resumption of the payroll tax, the House approved the urgent status for the bill on crypto, and the STF will adjudicate the INSS lifetime review today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Feb 2024

Yesterday, Lula signed a provisional measure that revokes the resumption of the payroll tax, but it has not yet been published in the Federal Official Gazette. The measure was negotiated with the National Congress. Also yesterday, the House approved the urgent status for the bill dealing with cry...

The pace of activity in Congress is slow, Senators believe that Lula has paid too much attention to the House and not enough to the Senate, and the TSE will adjudicate cases regarding the upcoming municipal elections
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Feb 2024

The combination of the lack of a concrete solution to the issue of congressional funds and issues such as the payroll tax exemption, in addition to the fact that the House is still discussing internally which party will lead which permanent committee of the House, considerably reduces the level o...

An ambitious agenda and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Feb 2024

The government may submit a new MP and bill on payroll tax relief to Congress. Arthur Lira discusses with party leaders the presidencies of the Permanent Committees of the House. In the STF, the highlight is the adjudication of the INSS lifetime review. The IBGE publishes the 2023 GDP this week. ...

Bolsonaro’s demonstration was impressive, Lira should meet with party leaders this week to discuss the presidencies of the House committees, and the 2023 GDP result will be published this week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Feb 2024

Former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) showed that he still has significant political capital. Whomever he decides to support in the upcoming elections is likely to receive a high number of votes. While the demonstration is unlikely to change his legal status, he remains Lula's main antagonist. Thi...

Lula met with party leaders of the House to improve their relationship, Lira should meet with party leaders next week to discuss the presidencies of the House committees, and the 2023 GDP result will be published next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Feb 2024

Yesterday, President Lula met with the president of the House, Arthur Lira (PP-AL), and representatives of 12 parties. The objective of the meeting was to improve dialogue between the Executive and Legislative branches. Next week, a meeting is scheduled between Arthur Lira (PP-AL) and party leade...

Haddad will look into the Perse program, Lula will meet with party leaders of the House to improve their relationship, and Flavio Dino takes office as a justice of the STF
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Feb 2024

The Minister of Finance, Fernando Haddad, said he will look closely into Perse, a program that funds the events sector. Fraud was identified in the program, whose expenses exceeded R$17 billion. This evening, President Lula will meet with the party leaders of the House and the president of the Ho...

Lula will meet with Haddad to discuss the payroll tax, several civil servants are calling for salary raises, and President Lula's statements about Israel continue to weigh negatively on the government
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Feb 2024

President Lula meets with the Minister of Finance, Fernando Haddad, to discuss reimbursing the payroll tax. The matter will be addressed through a bill with constitutional urgent status. Some civil servant groups are mobilizing for salary raises. The work-to-rule job action of federal agricultura...

The temporary truce and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Feb 2024

Throughout the week, the Government and Congress should negotiate on payroll tax relief, Perse (a program for the events sector), and Budget cuts. Conversations continue around the Ministry of Labor's ordinance on work on Sundays and holidays. Senator Flávio Dino resigns to take a seat on the STF...

Government leaders will meet to discuss the payroll tax exemption, party leaders will meet to discuss the parliamentary funds veto, and the STF has maintained the date of Bolsonaro’s deposition
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Feb 2024

Yesterday, the government leader in Congress, Senator Randolfe Rodrigues, said that the payroll tax relief issue would be resolved by the end of this week. He said that a solution only depended on President Lula's approval. Party leaders who are part of the Joint Budget Committee will meet to dis...

The Legislature will deal with issues in its relationship with the Executive Office, Flavio Dino takes a seat on the STF, and Bolsonaro calls for a demonstration on February 25
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Feb 2024

Next week, Congress returns to work at full pace and has issues to resolve with the Executive Office. Payroll tax relief, the Perse funding program for the events sector, and budget cuts are among the main sources of dissatisfaction in the relationship between the Legislature and the Executive Of...

Bolsonaro has called for a demonstration on February 25 that he hopes will establish him as a significant electoral player, and his supporters seem to be organizing themselves to attend
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Feb 2024

President Jair Bolsonaro is calling for a demonstration on February 25 so that he can defend himself against accusations of an attempted coup d'état. He believes this would be a demonstration in defense of the democratic rule of law. It appears that his supporters are organizing themselves to att...

The Federal Police has seized Bolsonaro’s passport, next week will be the Carnival holiday, and Lula visited Minas Gerais alongside Rodrigo Pacheco
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Feb 2024

Yesterday's Federal Police investigation into an attempted coup d'état had broad political repercussions. President Jair Bolsonaro and his allies were targeted in the investigation. Bolsonaro's passport was seized. Due to the Carnival holiday next week, decisions on the payroll tax exemption, the...

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