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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

Global Opposition with no Opposition at Home
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 07 Aug 2015

Hosting a BRICS summit and a summit of the Shanghai Cooperation Operation allowed Russia to present both organizations as an alternative to the Western-led international institutions. Although other summit participants were reluctant to support Russia’s anti-Western rhetoric, the meetings demonst...

Russia’s International Agenda
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 06 Jul 2015

Protests in Armenia against an energy price increase caused suspicions in Moscow of a potential Maidan-type scenario. Although the protests are not anti-Russian in nature, continued negligence and taking Armenia’s partnership for granted may eventually undermine Russian influence in the region. ...

Start of the Big Game
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 08 Jun 2015

With the last regional elections ahead of the national parliamentary elections taking place in September 2015, a 2016 campaign is almost underway. A changed voting system, a five-year gap after the last Duma election and other factors make next year's election a decisive moment requiring great ef...

Managerial Decisions
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 08 May 2015

Yet another rotation, with a federal minister’s going into the Presidential Administration and a regional governor’s becoming a federal minister, shows that Putin is firmly standing by his principle of rewarding loyalty above all else, and even more so if there is external pressure. Even certain ...

Mobilizing Management Efficiency
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 08 Apr 2015

Regional elites are under increased pressure from the Kremlin to comply with anti-corruption regulation as the country approaches a new wave of governors’ elections in September 2015, and with 18 months until the national parliamentary elections. The Presidential Administration now needs to final...

Fighting for Peace
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 09 Mar 2015

A long-awaited ceasefire benefits separatists in Novorossiya as they managed to use last days before it came into force to capture an important transportation hub and can now regroup and consider further advancement. Russia would prefer to avoid further sanctions and can now wait some time for a ...

Managing Economic Crisis
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 10 Feb 2015

The Russian government is dealing with two opposing priorities: managing economic difficulties, while denying their existence. The government launched a plan to support budget-funded parts of society, while staving off full-throated economic crisis. With high interest rates creating challenges fo...

The Economy Comes First
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 07 Jan 2015

The rapid depreciation of the Russian ruble and unexpected actions by the Central Bank undermined popular trust in the government and persuaded Russians to convert ruble savings into other currencies or buy consumer goods. So far, only a small segment of Russians, those with significant savings h...

Cooling the Boiling Public
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 19 Dec 2014

Falling oil prices and Western sanctions limiting access of capital to the Russian market resulted in rapid ruble depreciation, especially since they coincided with the Central Bank’s change of policies eventually allowing the free flow of the national currency for the first time in history. Occa...

Pressures and Risks
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 07 Nov 2014

Instead of using the annual Valdai forum to explain Russia to international experts and journalists, President Putin made it a platform for expressing and spreading his worldview. Russia is criticizing the current global leadership model and the US for being irresponsible with its global power. ...

Successfully Re-elected
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 07 Oct 2014

Local elections held in a majority of Russian federal entities demonstrate complete domination by the ruling elite. Since most opposition candidates were refused registration for the election, the incumbents faced no real competition and used the current “rally ‘round the flag” support for the go...

Wartime Living
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 05 Sep 2014

Russia is increasingly involved in the Ukrainian crisis, both in the international arena and on the ground. Moscow is trying to persuade Kyiv that there is no military solution to the current crisis, which means negotiations with the insurgents in which Russia can be an invaluable mediator but no...

Foreign Policy Coming Home
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 08 Aug 2014

An official statement that defending compatriots abroad will be a defining trait of Russia’s foreign policy leaves the country in an uneasy position in its relations with the neighbors where large parts of the population (or even the whole population depending on the definition) can be viewed as ...

Domestic Politics Are Back
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 08 Jul 2014

As the September 2014 local elections for numerous Russian federal entities draw nearer, incumbent elites are utilizing all the instruments they have to prevent the competition from even registering for the election. The Presidential Administration would prefer that the governors win in a fair co...

Reshaping the Agenda
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 06 Jun 2014

An agreement to establish the Eurasian Economic Union bringing Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan was signed with no obvious substantial progress achieved. Most new parts of the agreement either deal exclusively with institutional matters or address issues that are years ahead in the future making th...

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