Services
GLOBAL COVERAGE
- ARGENTINA
- BRAZIL ECONOMICS
- BRAZIL POLITICS
- CAUCASUS / CENTRAL ASIA
- CENTRAL AMERICA
- CHILE
- CHINA
- CHINA ADVISORY
- CHINA FINANCIAL
- COLOMBIA
- DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
- ECUADOR
- GULF COUNTRIES
- HUNGARY
- INDIA
- INDONESIA
- ISRAEL
- JAMAICA / BAHAMAS
- KAZAKHSTAN
- MEXICO
- NIGERIA
- PANAMA
- PERU
- PHILIPPINES
- POLAND
- RUSSIA ECONOMICS
- RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS
- SOUTH AFRICA
- TURKEY
- UKRAINE
- VENEZUELA
Events
Databanks
-
Argentina databank Apr 30
-
Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
-
Central America databank May 1
-
Chile databank Apr 7
-
China databank Mar 21
-
Colombia databank Apr 28
-
Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
-
Ecuador databank Apr 22
-
Gulf Countries databank May 2
-
Hungary databank Apr 22
-
India databank Apr 28
-
Mexico databank Mar 25
-
Panama databank Jan 28
-
Peru databank Apr 28
-
Philippines databank Apr 8
-
Poland databank Apr 29
-
Russia Economics databank Apr 11
-
South Africa databank May 6
-
Turkey databank Apr 24
-
Ukraine databank Mar 6
-
Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
UPCOMING WEBINAR - PANAMA IN FOCUS: US RELATIONS, CANAL STRATEGY AND FI...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Industrial growth numbers look good, supported by an additional working day in February
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 18 Mar 2024
The Bureau of National Statistics reported that in February, the country’s industrial growth numbers looked strong – both in the case of mining and manufacturing segments. It occurred, not least, due to a leap year and an additional working day in February. The mining segment grew by 3.6% y-o-y i...
Finally, the C-word
COLOMBIA · In Brief · 18 Mar 2024 · 1 response
On Friday, March 15, in a speech aimed to invigorate his supporters, out of the blue, President Petro came out with a proposal everyone feared since he ran for president; namely, aiming to change the constitution via a Constitutional Assembly (CA). He finally recurred to the C-word. In his own wo...
Government re-assessment and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Mar 2024
President Lula holds the first ministerial meeting of 2024. In the STF, the highlight is the judgment on the review of pensions. The government publishes a revenue and expenditure report for the first two months of the year. The Central Bank will decide on the basic interest rate. This week's ...
Politics: With only marginal shifts in GEA-ISA’s latest presidential race poll, Xóchitl faces major challenges in the final 10 weeks
MEXICO · Report · 18 Mar 2024
President López Obrador’s approval rating has fallen for a second consecutive quarter, and opposition presidential nominee Xóchitl Gálvez recouped three points of voting intentions, according to the latest GEA-ISA nationwide quarterly poll of registered voters. Mexico was only 24 hours into the g...
Chile: Progressive policy creep
CHILE · In Brief · 18 Mar 2024
It seems that Boric has stopped trying to appeal to the center. His popularity—forever stuck in the 25-30% range—is unlikely to rise, or fall. Looking ahead, Boric told his cabinet, “In the remaining two years of government, (we need) not to make promises, (but) to fulfill them.” Boric, like most...
Lula will hold the first ministerial meeting of 2024 today, three bills submitted by the government should be put to a vote this week, and the STF should analyze the lifetime review of the INSS case
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Mar 2024
This morning President Lula meets with his ministerial team. Recent polls show the deterioration of the President's image and the ratings of his government. Three bills from the Executive Office with constitutional urgent status begin to block the agenda of the House tomorrow. On Wednesday, March...
CCA Highlights: Armenia approaches neutral rate, Georgia makes a bold rate cut, Uzbekistan re-introduces limits on electricity consumption
CAUCASUS / CENTRAL ASIA · Report · 18 Mar 2024
We briefly comment on key macro and political events in the CCA space: Armenia: Deflation steepens in Feb Armenia: Central Bank cuts refinancing rate by 25bpts to 8.50 percent Armenia: CB Governor sees policy rate approaching neutral level Armenia: Budget posts surplus in Jan Armenia: Net ...
Abinader marches confidently toward re-election, amid a weak and divided opposition
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · Report · 18 Mar 2024
The new year got off to a good start, with economic activity growing 4.6% y/y in January, similar to the 4.7% y/y growth of December 2023. Inflation also performed well, declining for the second consecutive month, to 3.3% y/y in February. The monetary policy rate has remained unchanged since D...
Rate cut far from certain despite slowing inflation
ISRAEL · Report · 18 Mar 2024
1. Despite inflation moderation in February, a rate cut in April is far from assured. 2. We are forecasting inflation of 3.2% in the NTM due to an expansionary fiscal policy, higher shipping costs, and an expected acceleration in rental prices. 3. The current account surplus has improved bu...
Philippines: Jobs trend slightly reverses course
PHILIPPINES · Report · 18 Mar 2024
The Philippines’ employment rate increased slightly, to 95.5 percent in January 2024 from the 95.2 percent posted in January of the previous year. The rate was, however, lower than the 96.9 percent employment rate recorded in December 2023. Some seasonality is definitely involved here. Consider...
Putin wins record vote in dubious election
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 18 Mar 2024
As we predicted, Putin won a higher share of the vote than ever before: 87%. He expressed his gratitude to those who voted and took the opportunity to praise Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine. He said the war explained the high turnout, which was a record breaking 70%. The runner up was the co...
Next rate decision will hinge mostly on the direction of the shekel
ISRAEL · In Brief · 18 Mar 2024
Inflation continued to moderate in February Inflation slowed to 2.5% y/y from 2.6%, and core to 2.2% from 2.4%. The main item moderating inflation was housing rental prices which decelerated to 2.0% y/y from 3.0% last month. Other items tended to surprise on the upside, both goods and services. I...
It's all about the MPC
TURKEY · Report · 17 Mar 2024
The races in Ankara, Istanbul and Izmir turned largely static during the week, while new poll data from Anatolia was full of surprises. The politics author is confident in calling Ankara and Izmir for CHP incumbents, while Imamoglu stands a good chance to edge out AKP’s Kurum in Istanbul. Yet,...
Presidential election underway in Russia
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 15 Mar 2024
On March 15 the election began. Polls close on March 17. The government has warned that protests during elections will be dealt with firmly. Anti-Putin groups armed by Ukraine have vowed to disrupt the election. They have been raiding across the border in March 2024. In the last presidential elec...
GULF WEEKLY: Aramco hiked dividends, Saudi Q4 GDP, UAE Q4 fiscal, Dubai PMI surges
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 15 Mar 2024
A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines: * Oil rose to $85 as the IEA’s latest forecast sees the market in deficit this year. * US criticism of Israel intensified as Ramadan began without a ceasefire and with growing famine concerns. * Hamas reduced its demands, t...