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COUNTRY INSIGHTS

US funding for Ukraine in doubt
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 05 Oct 2023

In March 2023 the US Congress initially refused to vote for the budget. Some in the Republican Party want to reduce or even end funding for Ukrainian weapons. The US Congress avoided a government shutdown when it was agreed to postpone the Ukrainian weapons issue for now. Congress needs to elect ...

Russia to build a naval base in Georgia
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 05 Oct 2023

On October 5 the President of Abkhazia announced that Russia intends to build a naval base in Abkhazia. Russia recognized Abkhazia as an independent country, but most of the world regards it as part of the Republic of Georgia. Russia's naval base in Crimea is coming under attack from Ukraine. Rus...

Zelensky at European Political Community Forum
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 05 Oct 2023

On October 5 he arrived in Spain for the EPC Forum. He wore his trademark military uniform that he has worn every day since the war began. The EPC was founded in 2022. It includes all countries in Europe except Russia and Belarus and also includesTurkey, Azerbaijan and Armenia. It is hoped that o...

The vote on the bill on the taxation of offshore companies and exclusive funds was postponed, the ICMS complementary bill was approved, and the CCJ approved a PEC that limits the powers of the STF
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Oct 2023

The vote on the bill dealing with the taxation of offshore companies and exclusive funds was postponed. The postponement is due more to specific complaints about the text than the overall content of the text, which is expected to be approved by the House in October. Yesterday, October 4, the gove...

Is inflation eroding popular support in the Philippines?
PHILIPPINES · Report · 05 Oct 2023

President Ferdinand Marcos Jr suffered a major decline in his approval rating as consumer prices in the Philippines weakened his base support. Some 65% of the 1,200 respondents in the September Pulse Asia Survey approved of his performance, but this was down 15 percentage points (ppts) from 80% i...

Bi-Weekly Economic News Summary
KAZAKHSTAN · In Brief · 04 Oct 2023

Sep 21 KTZ: The National railway company in January-August increased grain loading and transportation by 45% y-o-y to over 7.7 million tons. Sep 22 Government: Kazakhstan plans to develop 75 companies to develop cotton growing and the textile industry, which will deliver over 40K new jobs and abo...

The House approved the Guarantee Framework, the Desenrola law was sanctioned by Lula, and the government is hoping to approve the bill on the taxation of offshore companies and exclusive funds
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Oct 2023

Yesterday, the House approved the guarantee framework. The bill is one of the priorities of the Ministry of Finance and aims to facilitate the granting of credit in the country in order to increase family consumption. Also yesterday, the law that deals with the Desenrola program, a debt renegotia...

Ukraine, Lithuania and Poland agree on grain exports
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 04 Oct 2023

On October 3 the two countries concurred that Ukrainian cereal products can be shipped via Poland to other countries. Much Ukrainian grain is sold to the Middle East and Africa. It no longer needs to be inspected at the Polish border but will be inspected at a Lithuanian port before being shipped...

SAUDI ARABIA: Deficits projected to return due to higher spending plans
GULF COUNTRIES · Forecast · 03 Oct 2023

* The Saudi ministry of finance published its usual pre-budget statement and mid-year performance review. * The government now projects deficits in 2023-26 whereas previously it was targeting surpluses. * Projected expenditure has been revised up by 13% on average in 2023-25. * Revenue is only...

Armenia to join the ICC
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 03 Oct 2023

On October 2 Parliament voted 60-22 to ratify the Rome Statute of the International Court. This means that Armenia will probably join the ICC. It remains for the President of Armenia to sign this into law. The President usually does so. If he does, then the law will take effect 60 days later. The...

Service inflation surges to 86.5%
TURKEY · Report · 03 Oct 2023

Consumer prices rose by 4.8%, m/m, in September, broadly in line with the consensus forecast, with 12-month CPI-inflation increasing further to 61.5% -- the highest level since the beginning of the year -- from 58.9% in August. Producer prices rose at a more moderate rate of 3.4% in the month, wi...

The Senate approved the Desenrola bill yesterday, Lira spoke with the rapporteur of the bill on the taxation of exclusive and offshore funds, and Lula vetoed two provisions of the fiscal framework
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 03 Oct 2023

Yesterday, October 2, as expected, the Senate approved the bill that deals with the Desenrola program and addresses the limit on interest rates charged to finance the outstanding balance of credit card bills and other post-paid payment instruments. Yesterday, the president of the House, Arthur Li...

Initial readings from the first presidential debate
ARGENTINA · Report · 03 Oct 2023

Sunday's opening presidential debate gave a glimpse into the electoral strategies of the five presidential candidates. As anticipated, the topics addressed were the economy, education, and human rights and democratic coexistence. The second debate will be held next Sunday, October 8, covering th...

The fiscal deficit target has been raised: this was always a bridge too far
HUNGARY · In Brief · 03 Oct 2023

This morning, KSH reported a general government deficit ratio of 6.3% of GDP, by EU methodology, for H1 2023. Immediately beforehand, the Finance Ministry announced an increase in this year's annual deficit target to 5.2% of GDP from the previous 3.9%, which was an amended version of the original...

Politics: The most recent GEA-ISA survey shows candidate Claudia Sheinbaum with an initial advantage
MEXICO · Report · 02 Oct 2023

The most recent GEA-ISA quarterly survey of registered voters shows presidential approval bounced 5 percentage points to 62%, along with a significant shift in the reasons respondents cited for commending AMLO’s performance away from general empathic associations to tangible factors arising from ...

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