BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Haddad met with congressional leaders to discuss the IOF tax increase, the Senate approved the bill that grants a salary increase to federal servants, and the Senate also approved advertising restrictions on “bets”
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 May 2025
Finance Minister Fernando Haddad met yesterday with the President of the Lower House, Hugo Motta, the President of the Senate, Davi Alcolumbre, and party leaders. Despite pressure from Congress, according to Haddad, there is no alternative to the IOF decree at this time. On Wednesday, May 28, the...
Congressional pressure to overturn Lula’s IOF decree continues to mount, the STF will hear a case on the CIDE tax on money transfers abroad, and the Senate may vote on a bill that increases federal salaries
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 May 2025
In Congress, pressure continues to mount to overturn President Lula’s decree raising the IOF tax. The agribusiness caucus is working in coordination with other parliamentary fronts to approve a legislative decree nullifying the tax hike. Pressure on public finances is also coming from the Judicia...
The cost of President Lula's popularity and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 May 2025
The Environmental Licensing bill reaches the Lower House. The House may also vote on proposals related to avian flu. The government will issue a decree detailing budget cuts. The Supreme Federal Court (STF) begins, via virtual plenary, deliberations on a case concerning non-affiliated (independen...
The IOF decree continues to cause friction within the government, the Lower House should discuss the Propag program for Minas Gerais, and Bolsonaro’s allies continue to clash with the Supreme Federal Court (STF)
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 May 2025
The government’s decision to raise the IOF tax continues to generate friction and reactions from all sides. Hugo Motta indicated that he will bring to discussion, in the Lower House leadership meeting, a legislative decree proposal to suspend President Lula’s decree that increases the IOF. This a...
The economic team announced a budget freeze, Senate President Alcolumbre announced he will hold a session of Congress on June 17 to review presidential vetoes, and the House should receive the environmental licensing bill next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 May 2025
The economic team announced yesterday a freeze of R$ 31.4 billion in the 2025 budget. An amount of R$ 10.6 billion was blocked, and R$ 20.6 billion was subject to contingency. The figure was much higher than the market had anticipated. Yesterday, Senate President and head of Congress, Davi Alcolu...
Budget cuts and spending freezes should be announced, the House approved the bill that restructures federal government career paths, and a Senate committee approved a proposal that puts an end to re-elections
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 May 2025
Between today and tomorrow, budget cuts and spending freezes are expected to be announced. Yesterday, President Lula met with the Budget Execution Board to discuss the size of the cuts. Yesterday, the Lower House approved Bill 1466/25, which restructures career paths and adjusts the salaries of f...
Senate committees approved the General Environmental Licensing Bill, the Senate CCJ held a public hearing to discuss the IBS Management Committee, and the Lower House installed a special committee on AI
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 May 2025
The Senate’s Environment (CMA) and Agriculture (CRA) Committees approved the General Environmental Licensing Bill (Bill No. 2159/2021) yesterday. The text may be voted on today by the Senate floor. Yesterday, the Senate’s Constitution, Justice, and Citizenship Committee (CCJ) held a public hearin...
Ibama approved Petrobras’s environmental license for oil exploration in the Amazon, the PDT will meet to mark the return of Lupi to the national leadership of the party, and the House will review the tax exemption bill
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 May 2025
The Brazilian Institute of Environment and Renewable Natural Resources (Ibama) yesterday approved the framework of the Wildlife Oiled Response and Protection Plan (PPAF), presented by Petrobras. This represents an important step in the environmental licensing process for oil exploration in the Fo...
The government seeks to contain damage in the INSS CPI and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 May 2025
The government is expected to announce spending cuts in the 2025 budget. The Finance Ministry is set to present President Lula with targeted measures to help meet the 2025 primary fiscal target. On Wednesday, May 21, Finance Minister Fernando Haddad will participate in a public hearing in the Low...