BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Lula continues efforts to reverse Flávio’s advantage in the election, the government moved forward with efforts to approve the 6x1 proposal, and Lula is expected to issue a letter to evangelical Christians
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Oct 2026
The government continues to pull out all the stops in an effort to reverse the advantage Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) held over Lula in the first round. As a reminder, the gap between the two candidates was 1.87 percentage points of the valid vote. The government has also moved forward with efforts to a...
Flávio strengthens his status as favorite and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Oct 2026
Next week, the Senate will conclude the five required sessions of debate on the constitutional amendment proposal that would end the 6x1 work schedule. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has scheduled a vote on the measure for Wednesday, October 14. Lula and Flávio will give interviews to TV Globo....
Alcolumbre scheduled for tomorrow the final debate session on the 6x1 proposal, a series of presidential polls will be released this week, and the FPA is organizing a nationwide caravan of representatives to support Flávio
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Oct 2026
Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) placed the proposed constitutional amendment to end the 6-days-on, 1-day-off workweek (6x1) on Wednesday’s (Oct. 14) agenda, marking the fifth and final day of debate on the proposal. After the rapporteur presents his report on any floor amendments befo...
Polls show Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leading in the runoff, Lula’s campaign is trying to correct some of the mistakes made in the first round, and radio and television campaign advertising for the runoff resumes today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Oct 2026
Two presidential polls released yesterday show Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) leading in the runoff. According to PoderData, the senator has 49% of the vote, compared with 44% for Lula. Datafolha shows a 49% to 45% split. Lula’s campaign is trying to correct some of the mistakes made during the fi...
The debate on the 6x1 proposal continues in the Senate, Lula said his campaign this year was the least organized of his political career, and the TSE will hear an appeal involving the gubernatorial elections in Rio
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Oct 2026
The debate over ending the 6-on, 1-off (6x1) work schedule continues to advance in the Senate. Yesterday, the Senate held the second discussion session on the proposal. Today, it will hold the third. Lula said this year’s campaign has been the “least organized” he has ever participated in over th...
Webinar replay: Brazil elections - Outlook for the runoff
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Oct 2026
What does the path to the presidency look like for Brazil's presidential candidates? Which way is the country leaning? Watch our webinar replay featuring GlobalSource Partners' Brazil Analyst Lucas de Aragao discussing the results of the first round and the outlook for the runoff elections.
The União Progressista party federation announced support for Flávio, the Senate will hold the second session on the 6x1 proposal, and Flávio’s campaign coordinator said the Senate should act to impeach STF justices
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Oct 2026
The PP and União Brasil, which make up the União Progressista federation and remained neutral in the first round, announced yesterday (Oct. 6) their support for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in the runoff of the presidential election, as we had anticipated. The endorsements Flávio Bolsonaro has r...
The PP will meet to decide the party’s position in the runoff, the PSD announced that it would remain neutral, and the Senate is expected to hold the first debate on the 6x1 constitutional amendment proposal
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Oct 2026
Today, the Progressistas (PP) will meet to decide the party’s position in the presidential runoff. The party remained neutral in the first round. The PP elected 41 members of the Lower House and will hold six seats in the Senate in the next Congress. The expectation is that the party will endorse...
Upcoming webinar - Brazil elections: Outlook for the runoff
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Oct 2026
Date: 6 Oct 2026 Time: 10:00 AM EDT What does the path to the presidency look like for Brazil's presidential candidates? Which way is the country leaning? Join us for our live Zoom webinar featuring GlobalSource Partners' Brazil Politics Analyst Lucas de Aragao discussing the results of th...