BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Flávio under pressure and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 May 2026
The rapporteur of the bill addressing the end of the 6x1 work schedule, Congressman Leo Prates (Republicanos-BA), is set to present his report before the Lower House Special Committee. In the Senate, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) may move forward with the rare earths bill and the Pu...
Congressman Prates should present his report on the 6x1 work schedule PECs, the House may vote on the fuel tax break offset bill, and AtlasIntel will release a presidential voting intention poll tomorrow
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 May 2026
On Wednesday (May 20), Congressman Leo Prates (Republicanos-BA) is expected to present his report on the proposed constitutional amendments (PECs) addressing the end of the 6x1 work schedule. A transition rule is currently under negotiation. The Lower House may vote this week on Complementary Bil...
The government shows signs of increased approval ratings, the leaked audio recordings of Flávio and Vorcaro have caused concern among his allies, and today is the deadline for amendments to 6x1 work schedule PECs
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 May 2026
The week ends on a positive note for the government. For the opposition, the balance is negative. President Lula began the week by announcing an R$11 billion public package for public security, which is the issue voters are most concerned about according to opinion polls. A new Genial/Quaest poll...
Flávio sought financial support from Vorcaro to make a film about his father, Viana filed a request to create a CPMI into Banco Master, and government allies intend to file a complaint against Flávio in the Senate Ethics Council
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 May 2026
The news that Flavio Bolsonaro sought financial support from former banker Daniel Vorcaro to make a film about former President Jair Bolsonaro caught the political world by surprise and represents a major setback for the senator’s campaign at this stage. The issue is expected to impact polling nu...
Lula is focused on measures aimed at improving his approval ratings, the Public Security PEC is expected to move forward next week, and debate over ending the 6x1 work schedule continues according to the timeline
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 May 2026
President Lula remains firmly focused on measures aimed at improving his approval ratings. Yesterday, two new initiatives were announced. The federal government launched the “Brazil Against Organized Crime” program. Lula also signed a provisional measure eliminating the so-called “clothing tax,” ...
Justice Marques will assume the presidency of the TSE, Durigan expects the bill authorizing the government to use oil revenues to be voted on this week, and Ciro Gomes said he will not be running for President
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 May 2026
Justice Kassio Nunes Marques officially assumes the presidency of Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE) today. He will lead the court during the 2026–2028 term and will therefore preside over this year’s elections. Yesterday, Finance Minister Dario Durigan stated that he expects the complementa...
The succession chessboard in three key states and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 May 2026
The Special Committee in the Lower House discussing the end of the 6x1 work schedule will hear from Finance Minister Dario Durigan and the head of the Presidential Secretariat-General, Guilherme Boulos. Justice Kassio Nunes Marques will be sworn in as president of the Superior Electoral Court (TS...
The committee on the 6x1 work schedule will hear from the Finance Minister, the rapporteur for the bill on the MEI revenue threshold should present his work plan, and Justice Marques will assume the presidency of the TSE
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 May 2026
The Special Committee in the Lower House discussing the end of the 6x1 work schedule will hold two public hearings this week. On Tuesday (May 12), the committee will hear from Finance Minister Dario Durigan. The rapporteur for Complementary Bill (PLP) No. 108/21, which raises the maximum annual g...
Trump said his meeting with Lula went well, Justice Carmen Lúcia issued her opinion on the oil royalties case, and the House Committee on the 6x1 work schedule will hear from Dario Durigan
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 May 2026
President Lula held another meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump. Shortly after the meeting, Trump wrote on social media that the discussion was “very good” and that new meetings between representatives of both countries will be scheduled in the coming months to address bilateral issues. Supr...