BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
The USTR proposed imposing a 25% tariff on all imports from Brazil, Alcolumbre should meet with party leaders to discuss the 6x1 proposal, and São Paulo’s Civil Police launched an investigation into a suspected scheme
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Jun 2026
Yesterday evening, the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) proposed imposing a 25% tariff on all imports from Brazil, except for goods classified as being subject to "national security tariffs". According to the document released late at night, the measure is justified by a series of actions, polici...
Lula's electoral strategy and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Jun 2026
Congress is expected to have a light schedule this week due to the Corpus Christi holiday. On Friday, the United States' designation of the Comando Vermelho (CV) and Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) as terrorist organizations officially takes effect. President Lula will convene his cabinet on We...
The federal holiday on Thursday will reduce activity in Congress, the Senate President will meet with party leaders to discuss the voting schedule for the 6x1 PEC, and Lula will hold a cabinet meeting on Wednesday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Jun 2026
Congress will operate on a reduced schedule this week due to the Corpus Christi holiday on June 4. On Tuesday (June 2), Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) will meet with party leaders to discuss the legislative timetable for the constitutional amendment proposal (PEC) that would end the ...
The U.S. has decided to designate the CV and PCC as terrorist organizations, Lula will hold a cabinet meeting on Wednesday, and Thursday is a federal holiday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 May 2026
The week appeared headed toward a major victory for the government with the Lower House’s approval of the proposal to eliminate Brazil’s 6x1 work schedule. However, that development was overshadowed by the U.S. government's decision to designate Comando Vermelho (CV) and Primeiro Comando da Capit...
Justice Nunes Marques has given the PGR twenty days to issue an opinion on Bolsonaro’s request for a criminal review, the House approved the end of the 6x1 work schedule, and Lula leads in the latest presidential polls
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 May 2026
Justice Kassio Nunes Marques has given the Office of the Prosecutor General (PGR) twenty days to issue an opinion on former President Jair Bolsonaro’s request for a criminal review of the 27-year-and-three-month prison sentence imposed on him in the criminal case related to the attempted coup d’é...
Flávio Bolsonaro met with Donald Trump yesterday, the Special Committee is expected to vote on the rapporteur’s report on the 6x1 work schedule, and the Senate may analyze a bill on special uses for the Pre-Salt Social Fund
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 May 2026
Yesterday, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro met with U.S. President Donald Trump. According to Flávio, he told Trump that, if elected, Brazil would have an allied government, and that once elected, he would negotiate agreements that could benefit companies from both countries. Among other objectives, Flá...
The rapporteur of the 6x1 work schedule proposal presented his report, the Special Committee on the MEI revenue cap increase continues discussions, and the government is focused on approving the proposal quickly
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 May 2026
Federal Deputy Leo Prates (Republicanos-BA), rapporteur of the proposal to end the 6-on-1-off work schedule, presented his report yesterday before the Special Committee discussing the matter. The goal is to vote on the proposal in committee on Wednesday and subsequently move it to the Lower House...
Questions after Flávio's setback and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 May 2026
This will be a decisive week for the vote on the 6x1 work schedule proposal. Following the presentation of the rapporteur’s opinion, the expectation is that the text will be submitted to the Special Committee and then to the floor of the Lower House. Bills related to rural debt are also on the ag...
The Ministry of Finance is finalizing the framework for the Desenrola program, the House should vote on the 6x1 work schedule next week, and results of four presidential polls may be released today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 May 2026
Finance Minister Dario Durigan said yesterday that the Ministry is finalizing the “framework” for a new version of the Desenrola program aimed at consumers who remain current on their payments but face a risk of indebtedness. The Lower House’s final debate and vote on the proposed constitutional ...