BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Lula enters 2026 in campaign mode and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Feb 2026
The week leading up to Carnaval will see reduced activity in Congress. Four new presidential approval and voting polls will be released. In the House, highlights include a vote on urgency status for the Redata bill and consideration of the complementary bill on bank resolution. The government is ...
The House is expected to vote on the urgent status of the bill on Data Centers, four presidential voting polls are expected for release this week, and the STF should analyze a case against the TCU’s new secretariat
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Feb 2026
The Lower House is expected to vote this week on an urgent status request for the bill establishing a Tax Regime for Data Centers (Redata), which would create tax incentives for the construction of data centers in Brazil. Four new presidential voting polls are scheduled for release this week. The...
In an interview Lula said that both Haddad and Alckmin have a role to play in São Paulo, Justice Dino ordered the suspension of “extra perks” in the public sector, and next week should be quiet as it precedes Carnaval
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Feb 2026
Yesterday, in an interview with UOL, President Lula said that both Finance Minister Fernando Haddad and Vice President Geraldo Alckmin have a role to play in São Paulo. Both have so far resisted running for elective office in October, but pressure is mounting. Yesterday, Supreme Court Justice Flá...
Two presidential voting polls were released yesterday, Lula attended a dinner last night with congressional leaders, and the CPMI on the INSS may hear from the INSS president
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Feb 2026
Yesterday, two presidential voting polls were released, both showing similar results. A poll conducted by Meio/Ideia Big Data indicates that President Lula (PT) leads in all five tested first-round scenarios. The Gerp Institute also confirmed the polarized landscape between President Lula (PT) an...
The Senate approved the People’s Gas Provisional Measure, the government’s priority is now the “6x1” work schedule, and Haddad said he presented two names to Lula for positions at the Central Bank
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Feb 2026
The Senate concluded yesterday the vote on the People’s Gas provisional measure (MP 1,313/25). As no substantive changes were made, the bill now moves to the President’s desk for final approval. Another government priority is ending the so-called “6x1” work schedule. According to Congressman Lind...
The House approved the People’s Gas Provisional Measure, the Executive Branch outlined its legislative priorities for the year, and the Supreme Court also outlined its priorities for the year
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 03 Feb 2026
Yesterday, the House approved the People’s Gas Provisional Measure. Considered an important initiative for the government, Provisional Measure No. 1,313/25 establishes the People’s Gas Program, aimed at expanding access to cooking gas in Brazil. In its message to Congress, the Executive Branch al...
Trio of presidential hopefuls empowers the PSD and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Feb 2026
The National Congress and the Judiciary are resuming their activities. President Lula is expected to sign the Mercosur–European Union agreement proposal and send it to Congress. In the Lower House, attention is focused on the vote on the Gas Provisional Measure. In the Senate, the INSS Joint Parl...
Congress resumes activity today, President Lula should sign the Mercosur-EU agreement and submit it to Congress, and two governors will attend hearings in the Senate this week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Feb 2026
Congress resumes its activities today. The current legislative session will run through July 17. Today, President Lula is expected to sign the Mercosur-European Union agreement and send it to Congress for consideration. The goal is to vote on the agreement this semester. In the Senate, two govern...
The right's agenda in Congress and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Jan 2026
Lower House President Hugo Motta (Republicans–PB) is meeting with party leaders to define the legislative agenda for the year. São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicans) is scheduled to meet with former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) on Thursday, January 29. On the economic front, attent...