BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Lula has expanded his lead over Flávio Bolsonaro in the polls, the Senate CCJ approved the PEC on the financial autonomy of the Central Bank, and the House approved a bill that would lead to free urban public transportation
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Jun 2026
The Genial/Quaest poll released yesterday showed that President Lula (PT) has expanded his lead over Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) to ten percentage points in the first-round simulation (39% to 29%). In May, the gap stood at six points (39% to 33%). One issue that advanced in the Senate despite r...
The TSE began discussions on whether the AtlasIntel poll violated Brazil’s electoral legislation, Alcolumbre met with José Guimarães regarding the 6x1 proposal, and the House may vote on the fuel tax offset bill
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Jun 2026
The Superior Electoral Court (TSE) began deliberating yesterday on whether to uphold the individual decision issued by the Court’s president, Justice Kassio Nunes Marques, who on Monday (June 8) ordered the removal of content and suspended the publication of a poll conducted by AtlasIntel. Senate...
Alcolumbre will meet with party leaders today to discuss the 6x1 PEC, the House may vote on the fuel tax exemptions bill, and the TSE will discuss whether an AtlasIntel poll violated Brazil’s electoral legislation
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Jun 2026
Today’s main focus is the meeting between Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) and party leaders to discuss the procedure for the constitutional amendment proposal (PEC) that would end Brazil’s 6x1 work schedule. The issue is considered a priority for the government. A meeting of Lower Hou...
Consequences of the new tariffs on the presidential race and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Jun 2026
Senate President Davi Alcolumbre is expected to meet with party leaders to discuss the legislative path of the proposal to end Brazil’s 6x1 work schedule. The Senate’s Economic Affairs Committee is set to review the constitutional amendment granting financial autonomy to the Central Bank. A new G...
Alcolumbre should meet this week with party leaders to discuss the 6x1 PEC, the House may vote this week on the fuel tax exemptions bill, and the STF should continue the trial on the Civil Rights Framework for the Internet
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Jun 2026
A meeting is expected this week between Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) and party leaders to discuss the legislative path of the constitutional amendment proposal (PEC) that would end Brazil’s 6x1 work schedule. The Lower House is expected to attempt a vote this week on Complementary ...
The potential 25% tariff on all imports from Brazil has become a major issue in the presidential campaign, the 6x1 proposal will be analyzed in the CCJ first, and Lula will hold a cabinet meeting today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 03 Jun 2026
The threat by the United States to impose a 25% tariff on Brazilian exports has become a major issue in the presidential campaign. The Lula administration is attempting to link the issue to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro. Yesterday, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União Brasil-AP) stated that the con...
The USTR proposed imposing a 25% tariff on all imports from Brazil, Alcolumbre should meet with party leaders to discuss the 6x1 proposal, and São Paulo’s Civil Police launched an investigation into a suspected scheme
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 02 Jun 2026
Yesterday evening, the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) proposed imposing a 25% tariff on all imports from Brazil, except for goods classified as being subject to "national security tariffs". According to the document released late at night, the measure is justified by a series of actions, polici...
Lula's electoral strategy and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Jun 2026
Congress is expected to have a light schedule this week due to the Corpus Christi holiday. On Friday, the United States' designation of the Comando Vermelho (CV) and Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) as terrorist organizations officially takes effect. President Lula will convene his cabinet on We...
The federal holiday on Thursday will reduce activity in Congress, the Senate President will meet with party leaders to discuss the voting schedule for the 6x1 PEC, and Lula will hold a cabinet meeting on Wednesday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Jun 2026
Congress will operate on a reduced schedule this week due to the Corpus Christi holiday on June 4. On Tuesday (June 2), Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) will meet with party leaders to discuss the legislative timetable for the constitutional amendment proposal (PEC) that would end the ...