BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Pedro Lucas declined Lula’s ministerial invitation, Lula will formally present the Public Security PEC today, and the Joint Committee on payroll-deductible loans for workers should be installed today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Apr 2025
The leader of União Brasil in the Lower House, Pedro Lucas (MA), has declined President Lula’s invitation to head the Ministry of Communications. Pedro Lucas’s refusal, in a way, weakens Senate President Alcolumbre, who coordinated the proposed reshuffle. Today President Lula will formally presen...
The battle for control of the political agenda and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Apr 2025
Despite the Tiradentes holiday (April 21), a busy week is expected in Congress. President of the House, Hugo Motta (Republicanos-PB), is in talks with congressional leaders about the Amnesty Bill. The União Brasil caucus is debating the appointment of its leader, Pedro Lucas (MA), to the Ministry...
The opposition submitted the urgent status request for the Amnesty Bill, Pedro Lucas will meet with his party regarding his ministerial appointment, and the STF will decide on the PGR charges against Bolsonaro
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Apr 2025
The President of the House, Hugo Motta (Republicanos-PB), will meet with party leaders to discuss the Amnesty Bill. Last week, the opposition secured the support of 264 votes for the urgent status request to be brought to the floor. Federal Deputy and União Brasil leader in the House, Pedro Lucas...
The Petrobras Board of Directors will discuss Unigel, the urgent status of the Amnesty Bill should be put to a vote after the long holiday, and the Special Committee on the income tax bill should be installed next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Apr 2025
Today, a meeting of the Petrobras Board of Directors is scheduled to decide on the situation of Unigel, a company that leased two fertilizer plants (Fafens) from the state-owned enterprise in 2019—one in Sergipe and another in Bahia—but ceased production in 2023. Next week, after the long holiday...
The government wants its allies to withdraw their signatures for the urgent status of the amnesty bill, the PLDO sets the minimum wage at R$1,630 next year, and the Petrobras AGO is expected to reappoint its Board of Directors Chair
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Apr 2025
The fact that the opposition managed to gather enough signatures to bring the urgent status request for the Amnesty Bill to a vote in the House plenary has caused friction between the government and its allied base. This is because 146 members from allied parties signed the request. The governmen...
The leader of the Liberal Party filed an urgent status request for the amnesty bill, the PLDO will be submitted today, and a presidential decree was issued today regulating the Full Payment of State Debts Program (Propag)
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Apr 2025
Yesterday, the leader of the Liberal Party (PL), Deputy Sóstenes Cavalcante (RJ), filed an urgent status request for the bill that grants amnesty to those involved in the events of January 8, 2023 (Bill 2858/22). The number of signatures in favor of the urgent status suggests that both the status...
More questions than answers in the presidential succession and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Apr 2025
The extended holiday (April 18–21) is expected to slow activity in the Legislative branch. On Tuesday, April 15, the government will send the Budget Guidelines Bill (PLDO) to Congress. The government is also expected to file the Public Security Constitutional Amendment Proposal (PEC). The União B...
The upcoming holidays will reduce legislative activity, the government is expected to submit the PEC on public security tomorrow, and the União Brasil will meet to decide on its new party leader
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Apr 2025
The holidays on Friday, April 18 (Good Friday), and Monday, April 21 (Tiradentes Day), will reduce legislative activity this week. Sessions in the Lower House will be held remotely. This week, the Executive Branch will submit the Constitutional Amendment Proposal (PEC) on public security to the L...
Lula appointed a replacement for the Communications Ministry, the federal government enacted the Annual Budget Law, and the opposition gathered enough signatures to fast-track the amnesty bill
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Apr 2025
Yesterday, April 10, President Lula confirmed the appointment of Federal Deputy Pedro Lucas Fernandes (from Maranhão) to take over the Ministry of Communications, replacing Juscelino Filho. Yesterday the federal government enacted the 2025 Annual Budget Law (LOA). The budget was approved almost e...