BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Entrenched polarization and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Jun 2025
The government may present party leaders with a proposal for a 10% across-the-board cut in tax benefits. According to Deputy Finance Minister Dario Durigan, the Manaus Free Trade Zone and personal income tax deductions would be preserved. Arthur Lira (PP-AL) is expected to present his report on t...
The Ministry of Finance is expected to propose a 10% cut in tax benefits, the National Energy Policy Council is expected to discuss increasing the ethanol blend in gasoline, and the STF will have a busy week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Jun 2025
In an interview last week, Executive Secretary of the Finance Ministry Dario Durigan said the economic team is expected to present a proposal this week to the presidents of the Lower House and the Senate, as well as to party leaders, calling for a 10% across-the-board cut in tax benefits. Also sc...
Senator Alcolumbre read the request to establish a CPMI into the INSS scandal, Congress overturned a presidential veto that would have increased taxes, and the Central Bank will announce the Selic
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Jun 2025
The President of Congress, Senator Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP), has read the request to establish a Joint Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPMI) into the INSS and authorized the formation of the panel. Yesterday, during a joint congressional session, lawmakers also voted on presidential vetoes....
The House approved the urgent status of the legislative decree on the IOF, Congress is expected to analyze presidential vetoes, and the Copom meetings will begin today to decide on the benchmark interest rate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Jun 2025
As expected, the Lower House approved the urgent status for the legislative decree bill that overrides President Lula’s decree on the IOF tax. The margin was wide: 346 to 97. A session of the National Congress is scheduled for today. More than 60 presidential vetoes are pending review, some datin...
The PSD's political chessboard and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Jun 2025
The Lower House may vote on an urgent status for the legislative decree that suspends the president’s decree on the IOF. Congress will hold a session to analyze presidential vetoes, during which the request to open a Joint Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPMI) on the INSS may be read. In the ...
The House should vote today on a legislative decree that revokes the President’s decree on the IOF, Congress is expected to discuss budget fund transfers, and presidential vetoes are scheduled to be analyzed tomorrow
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Jun 2025
A vote is scheduled for today on the urgent status of a legislative decree bill that seeks to override the President’s decree increasing the Financial Transactions Tax (IOF). There is pressure from sectors of the Lower House not only for the urgent status of the bill but also for a vote on the bi...
The House is expected to vote on a legislative decree that revokes the President’s decree on the IOF tax, allies are distancing themselves from the government, and there is a holiday next week in Brazil
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Jun 2025
The Lower House sent a strong message to the government: it scheduled a vote for next Monday on a legislative decree that revokes the president’s decree on the IOF tax. It is also clear that some allies have begun distancing themselves from the government as the election approaches and the admini...
A decree on the IOF tax and an MP on other taxes were published, there has been a delay in the payment of parliamentary fund transfers, and the STF voted to hold social media platforms accountable for content posted by users
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Jun 2025
A decree adjusting the Financial Operations Tax (IOF) and a provisional measure (MP) addressing the taxation of financial investments, betting platforms, and the increase in the Interest on Equity (JCP) rate, among other measures, were published yesterday in a special edition of the Federal Offic...
The STF concluded the testimony phase for the case on the attempted coup, discussions on the IOF are ongoing, and members of the Agricultural Front presented alternative proposals in response to the government’s plan to tax LCAs
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Jun 2025
The First Panel of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) concluded yesterday the testimony phase for the defendants in the so-called “central group,” accused of orchestrating an attempted coup in 2022. Among those who testified were former President Jair Bolsonaro and General Braga Neto. Regarding the ...