BRAZIL POLITICS

Analysts

Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko Advice

Recent Country Insights

The House approved urgent status for the Amnesty Bill, the House also approved the Privileges PEC, and the government pushed through the Social Electricity Tariff to provide subsidized power to low-income families
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Sep 2025

The Lower House plenary approved urgent status for the Amnesty Bill for those imprisoned in connection with the January 8 attacks (PL 2162/23). The measure passed with 311 votes in favor and 163 against. Centrist parties only backed urgency for the amnesty after the PL overwhelmingly supported th...

Bolsonaro’s health condition has worsened again, the House may vote on the urgent status of the amnesty bill, and the opposition appointed Congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro as minority leader
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Sep 2025

Former President Jair Bolsonaro’s health condition has worsened again, and he was readmitted to the hospital yesterday. There is no expected date for him to be discharged. His health situation is worrying his allies. Today, the Lower House may vote on the urgent status of the amnesty bill. The la...

Governor Tarcísio requested to visit former President Bolsonaro, the opposition is calling for an inquiry into potential irregularities in Bolsonaro’s sentencing, and Motta will meet with party leaders to set the voting agenda
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Sep 2025

Governor Tarcísio de Freitas canceled his trip to Brasília yesterday. Instead, he requested authorization from the Supreme Federal Court (STF) to visit the former president. That meeting is scheduled for September 29. The opposition is now calling for a Joint Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (C...

Legal steps after Bolsonaro's conviction and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Sep 2025

This week will continue to reflect the trial of former President Jair Bolsonaro, with his allies pushing for a vote on the amnesty bill. The government, meanwhile, is trying to include in Congress’s agenda an income tax exemption for individuals earning up to R$5,000 per month. In the Senate, the...

The opposition continues to push for an amnesty bill for Bolsonaro, the government is prioritizing the income tax exemption bill, and the House may vote on the Social Electricity Tariff measure for low-income households
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Sep 2025

Following the conviction by the First Panel of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) of former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and seven other defendants accused of attempting a coup d’état, the opposition is pushing for consideration of a bill granting amnesty to all those accused. The government’s coal...

The STF convicted Bolsonaro to 27 years of prison, his allies in Congress are pushing for the amnesty bill to be put to a vote, and Motta wants to vote on the income tax exemption bill
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Sep 2025

The First Panel of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) concluded its trial on Thursday (September 11) and sentenced former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) to 27 years and 3 months in the case involving the coup plot. Allies of former President Jair Bolsonaro plan to push for an amnesty bill. São Paulo ...

The STF continues Bolsonaro’s trial with Justice Lúcia’s vote, the report on tax reform was submitted, and the House postponed the vote on the Social Electricity Tariff provisional measure
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Sep 2025

This afternoon, the First Panel of the Supreme Federal Court resumes the trial of former President Jair Bolsonaro and seven other defendants accused of attempting a coup d’état, with the vote of Justice Cármen Lúcia. Yesterday, the Constitution and Justice Committee (CCJ) received Senator Eduardo...

The STF continues Bolsonaro’s trial with Justice Fux’s vote, the report on the Management Committee bill was released, and the rapporteur of the MP on the IOF should issue his report next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Sep 2025

The First Panel of the Supreme Federal Court resumes today the trial of former President Jair Bolsonaro and seven other defendants accused of attempting a coup d’état. The trial will continue with Justice Luiz Fux’s vote. Senator Eduardo Braga (MDB–AM), rapporteur of the bill regulating the IBS M...

The STF resumes Bolsonaro’s trial, the report on the Management Committee bill should be released, and the proposal on precatórios should be promulgated
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Sep 2025

The First Panel of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) today resumes the criminal trial against former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and seven other defendants accused of attempting a coup d’état in 2022. The trial will continue until Friday, September 12. In the Senate, the rapporteur of the complem...

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