BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
The STF established criteria for the payment of perks to judges, the Court will also review Justice Mendonça’s decision to extend the INSS CPMI, and the Confaz should meet today to discuss a reduction in the ICMS on diesel
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 26 Mar 2026
Yesterday, the Supreme Federal Court (STF) established criteria for the payment of indemnity allowances—commonly referred to as “perks”—to judges and members of the Public Prosecutor’s Office. Certain indemnity payments were authorized up to a limit of 35% of the constitutional salary cap, which ...
The STF is set to review Justice Mendonça’s decision to extend the INSS CPMI, Hugo Motta outlined the current priorities of the Lower House, and the TSE declared former Rio Governor Cláudio Castro ineligible
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Mar 2026
The full bench of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) is set to review tomorrow an injunction granted by Justice André Mendonça extending the INSS Joint Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPMI). The committee was initially scheduled to conclude on March 28. The President of the Lower House, Hugo Mot...
Justice Mendonça has ordered Alcolumbre to extend the INSS CPMI, Paraná Governor Ratinho Júnior has withdrawn from the presidential race, and the TSE is set to rule on the case against Rio Governor Cláudio Castro
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Mar 2026
Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice André Mendonça has ordered Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) to extend the INSS Joint Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPMI). The committee had originally been scheduled to conclude on March 28. Paraná Governor Ratinho Júnior (PSD) has withdrawn fr...
Truckers risk on the radar and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Mar 2026
The Office of the Prosecutor General (PGR) may issue a position on a request for house arrest for former President Jair Bolsonaro. The PSD is expected to define its presidential candidate. On Friday, Confaz will discuss reducing the ICMS tax on diesel imports. This is the final week of activity f...
The PGR is expected to issue an opinion on Bolsonaro’s request for house arrest, this is the final week of activity for the INSS CPMI, and the PSD may select its presidential pre-candidate tomorrow
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Mar 2026
Justice Alexandre de Moraes of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) requested on Friday that the Office of the Prosecutor General (PGR) issue an opinion on the request for house arrest filed by former President Jair Bolsonaro’s legal team. The justice did not set a deadline for the PGR’s response, whi...
Haddad has departed from the Ministry of Finance, Vorcaro has signed a confidentiality agreement with the authorities, and the STF begins adjudication of the case filed by the PT against the privatization of Sabesp
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Mar 2026
The departure of Fernando Haddad from the Ministry of Finance was published in the Federal Official Gazette. Dario Durigan, who had been serving as Executive Secretary, has been appointed minister. Former banker Daniel Vorcaro has signed a confidentiality agreement with the authorities involved i...
The threat of a truckers’ strike is dominating the government’s agenda, today is the deadline for Lula to sign into law the bill that reduces tax rates for the chemical industry, and Vorcaro is currently negotiating a plea agreement
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Mar 2026
The threat of a truckers’ strike is dominating the government’s agenda in Brasília. As announced on March 18 by Transportation Minister Renan Filho, the government plans to expand electronic monitoring of freight nationwide, in addition to strengthening on-the-ground enforcement. Today is the dea...
The House may vote on the urgent status of a bill that increases the revenue cap for MEIs, the government may submit a bill on the 6x1 work schedule, and Justice Dino ended forced retirement as the highest penalty for judges
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Mar 2026
The Lower House is expected to vote today on an urgent status request for a bill (PL 108/21) that raises the revenue cap for Individual Microentrepreneurs (MEIs). The proposal increases the annual gross revenue ceiling for MEIs to R$130,000. Regarding the proposed end of the six-days-on, one-day-...
Still no space for a third-way candidate and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Mar 2026
Finance Minister Fernando Haddad is expected to leave the ministry to run for governor of São Paulo in October. The Central Bank will decide the benchmark interest rate. A session in Congress is scheduled to promulgate the Mercosur–European Union agreement. The Supreme Federal Court (STF) will be...