BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Flávio Bolsonaro had difficulty registering his candidacy, the official campaign period begins on Sunday and runs through October 1, and the government said it notified the U.S. about instating reciprocal tariffs
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Aug 2026
When Senator Flávio Bolsonaro attempted to register his candidacy for the presidency, he was prevented from doing so because the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) system showed that he was affiliated with Missão rather than the PL. Yesterday, the TSE restored Flávio’s PL affiliation. His candidacy h...
Lula signed four decrees on policies for the electricity and fuels sectors, the STF will hold a hearing on whether the FGC will extend a loan to BRB, and the Federal Revenue Service may release new regulations on Tax Reform
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Aug 2026
President Lula (PT) yesterday signed four decrees regulating policies for the electricity and fuel sectors. The measures regulate the use of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF); Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), aimed at the environmentally responsible storage of CO2; the legal framework for green hy...
Polls show that the election remains polarized between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, the House may vote on the bill that reduces taxes on fuels, and Lula will sign four decrees on policies for the electricity and fuels sectors
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 12 Aug 2026
Between Monday and Tuesday, three opinion polls were released. The Nexus/BTG, Apex/Futura, and CNT/MDA polls converge on one central point: the presidential election remains polarized between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, with both holding a wide lead over the other candidates. Today, the Lower Hous...
Congress begins a week of concentrated legislative activity, Lula may meet with Senate President Alcolumbre to discuss Senate priorities, and House President Motta has announced his support for Lula in the elections
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 11 Aug 2026
Today, the Lower House and the Senate begin a week of concentrated legislative activity. The voting agenda has yet to be finalized. This morning, Institutional Relations Minister José Guimarães and government leaders in Congress will have breakfast with Finance Minister Dario Durigan in an effort...
Lula's strategy pays off and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Aug 2026
The National Congress holds its first concentrated legislative session ahead of the elections. Political parties have until August 15 to register their candidates with the Electoral Court. Electoral campaigning begins the following day. Seven polls on presidential voting intentions and the federa...
Congress will hold a week of concentrated activity this week, House Speaker Motta will meet with party leaders tomorrow to discuss the agenda, and parties have until Sunday to register their candidates
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Aug 2026
This will be a week of concentrated legislative activity in the Lower House and the Senate. Due to the elections, both chambers have decided to hold only two weeks of congressional activity before the first round, scheduled for October 4. House Speaker Hugo Motta (Republicanos-PB) will meet with ...
Investigations into Lula’s son and former aide continue, Minister Boulos will meet with unions to discuss the end of the 6x1 work schedule, and Congress will resume activity next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Aug 2026
A meeting with the Ministry of Justice and the Office of the Attorney General has been scheduled to discuss the Federal Police’s autonomy to investigate allegations involving fraud at the INSS, Brazil’s social security agency. The issue has generated significant attention because the investigatio...
Flávio Bolsonaro has announced Federal Congressman Alfredo Gaspar as his running mate, Lula argued that the government should lower interest rates, and Congress will hold a concentrated voting session next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Aug 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro has announced Federal Congressman Alfredo Gaspar (PL-AL) as his running mate. Gaspar is from Brazil's Northeast and served as the rapporteur of the congressional inquiry into the INSS scandal. Yesterday, President Lula (PT) argued that the government should find an alternative to...
The Trump administration revoked the visa of Brazil’s ambassador to the U.S., Justice Dino authorized the opening of a new investigation into Lulinha, and Flávio Bolsonaro may announce his running mate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Aug 2026
The Donald Trump administration revoked the visa of Brazil’s ambassador to the United States in retaliation for Brazil’s refusal last month to grant visas to two U.S. diplomats who intended to visit the country ahead of the upcoming presidential election. The Brazilian government accused the Trum...