BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceEvents
Recent Country Insights
The press is publishing a number of stories involving Flávio and Lula, President Lula should sign a provisional measure banning online sports betting, and next week is the final week of the election campaign
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Sep 2026
As the campaign enters its final stretch, the press is publishing a number of stories involving Flávio Bolsonaro and President Lula. The Federal Police extracted roughly three months of conversations between banker Daniel Vorcaro and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) from Vorcaro’s cellphone. Marc...
The use of litigation in the presidential campaign is increasing but the cases should have little impact on the electorate, and the latest poll continues to show a highly competitive race between Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Sep 2026
The use of litigation in the presidential campaign is increasing as the race enters its final stretch. The Workers’ Party (PT) has asked Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Flávio Dino to investigate possible U.S. interference in Brazil’s elections aimed at benefiting presidential candidate Flávi...
Lula spoke at the opening of the 81st UN General Assembly, the Shield of the Americas group classified the PCC and CV as terrorist groups, and the TCU will meet to review Petrobras’s fuel pricing policy
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Sep 2026
In his speech at the opening of the 81st United Nations General Assembly, President Lula (PT) adopted an ideological narrative that also focused on domestic politics. Lula defended national sovereignty and the principle of non-interference in countries’ internal affairs. The governments of 14 cou...
Three new developments in the STF crisis put the Court at the center of the political debate, the latest poll shows Lula and Flávio tied in the first round, and both candidates have the highest rejection rates
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Sep 2026
Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) has once again moved to the center of the political debate. Images emerged showing Justice Alexandre de Moraes and his wife, Viviane Barci, disembarking from a private jet belonging to a company linked to banker Daniel Vorcaro. Additional information may emerg...
Lula's bets in the final stretch and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Sep 2026
This is the second-to-last week of campaigning ahead of the elections. The Banco Master case remains the leading item on the political agenda. The Superior Council of the Federal Public Prosecutor’s Office (PGR) will discuss a proceeding examining references made by former banker Daniel Vorcaro t...
Lula continues to shift focus away from the STF crisis with government programs, he will speak at the UN General Assembly tomorrow, and the PGR may analyze Paulo Gonet’s relationship with Vorcaro
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Sep 2026
President Lula, weakened by corruption allegations and also by the crisis surrounding the Supreme Federal Court (STF), is trying to shift the political agenda. Last week, he announced an increase in Bolsa Família benefits. He is currently in the United States, where he has several engagements in ...
Justice Fachin postponed the analysis of the case involving Justice Mendonça, the government announced an increase in Bolsa Família benefits, and Lula will attend the UN General Assembly next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Sep 2026
As expected, Supreme Federal Court (STF) Chief Justice Edson Fachin postponed consideration of the case that would assess Justice André Mendonça’s conduct as rapporteur in the Master and INSS cases. Against the backdrop of continued deterioration in the president’s approval ratings, the governmen...
The STF crisis continues, criticism of the Supreme Court ranked among the highest-engagement content on Brazilian social media, and five presidential polls are expected to be released today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Sep 2026
There were strong reactions from both the government and the opposition on the day after the Supreme Federal Court’s (STF) proceedings involving Alexandre de Moraes. On the government side, President Lula said he was outraged by what is happening. The opposition, meanwhile, was unhappy with Just...
The STF postponed deliberations on whether to investigate Justice Moraes, Lula tries to distance himself from the STF crisis, and the Copom will decide on the new benchmark interest rate today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Sep 2026
As expected, Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) postponed its decision on whether to open an investigation into Justice Alexandre de Moraes. The proceedings were suspended after Justice Flávio Dino requested additional time to review the case. Under the Court’s internal rules, Dino’s request fo...