BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Tensions rise among Bolsonaro's allies and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Aug 2025
President Lula is holding a ministerial meeting to discuss reactions to the tariff hike imposed by the United States and the regulation of social media, with bills potentially being sent to Congress in the coming days. The Joint Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry (CPMI) on the INSS will meet to v...
Lula will meet with his cabinet to discuss the 50% tariff hike by the U.S., the government faced a setback in the CPMI on INSS last week, and the Lower House analyzes the Immunities Constitutional Amendment
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 25 Aug 2025
President Lula (PT) has called a meeting with his cabinet for Tuesday (August 26) to align the government’s position on the 50% tariff hike imposed by the United States on Brazilian exports and to discuss the proposed regulation of social media platforms and technology companies. Last week, the g...
The Senate may vote on the IBS management committee next month, today is the deadline for Bolsonaro to respond to the information found on his cellphone, and the CPMI on the INSS should meet on Tuesday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Aug 2025
The regulation of the IBS (Goods and Services Tax) management committee (PLP 108/24) may be voted on by mid-September. Today is the deadline set by Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Alexandre de Moraes for former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) to respond regarding the political asylum request do...
The Federal Police indicted Bolsonaro and his son for coercion, leaked audio recordings could damage the Bolsonaro family’s image, and Justice Moraes said Brazilian courts can punish banks that follow US orders
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 21 Aug 2025
The Federal Police (PF) has indicted former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) and his son, Federal Congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL-SP), for coercion in the criminal case concerning the attempted coup d’état following the 2022 elections. Newly released audio recordings could also damage the Bolsonar...
The Senate approved appointments to regulatory agencies, tensions between the US and South America continue to escalate, and the Senate may vote on the court-ordered debts proposal
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 20 Aug 2025 · 1 response
As expected, the Senate approved appointments to the boards of several regulatory agencies. These appointments had been stalled for months. Tensions between the United States and South America have escalated in recent days. U.S. government spokesperson Karoline Leavitt said on Tuesday (August 19)...
Justice Dino issued a decision that blocks the effects of foreign court decisions and laws without their first being validated by a Brazilian court, and the União Progressista party should be created today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Aug 2025
Yesterday, Justice Flávio Dino of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) ruled that foreign court decisions and laws cannot produce effects in Brazil without prior review by the competent Brazilian authority, under penalty of violating national sovereignty. Dino’s ruling sets a precedent that could susp...
Political deadlock likely to continue and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 19 Aug 2025
The government may send to Congress the bill regulating big techs. In the Senate, the highlights are the vote on the Precatório Constitutional Amendment Proposal and confirmation hearings for regulatory agency appointees. The parliamentary inquiry into the National Social Security Institute (INSS...
União Brasil and the Progressista Party to announce a party federation, the appointments to regulatory agencies should be concluded this week, and Congress should vote on the CPMI on the INSS scandal
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Aug 2025
On Tuesday, August 19, União Brasil and the Progressista Party will formalize a federation between the two parties, called União Progressista. Together, the two parties will hold 109 seats in the Lower House and 14 in the Senate. The Senate Infrastructure Committee is expected to finally complete...
Justice Moraes requested that a trial date be set for Bolsonaro’s case, Motta said the bill on the income tax exemption could go to the floor in the coming days, and a new party federation may be announced next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Aug 2025
Yesterday, August 14, Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Alexandre de Moraes requested that Justice Cristiano Zanin, president of the Court’s First Panel, set a trial date for former President Jair Bolsonaro and other defendants accused of participating in an attempted coup following the 2022 el...