BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
The Senate approved the Freight MP, it also approved a PEC on special retirement rules for community health workers, and the U.S. should decide today whether to impose the 25% tariff on Brazilian exports
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Jul 2026
Yesterday, the Senate approved the provisional measure (MP) changing the rules governing minimum road freight rates, but without the proposed monthly minimum wage of R$5,000 for truck drivers. The text now goes to the president for sanction. The Senate also approved a proposed constitutional amen...
The Freight MP may be put to a vote today in the Senate, truck drivers called for a strike yesterday but participation was limited, and Justice Moraes suspended Flávio Bolsonaro’s visitation rights to his father’s house
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 14 Jul 2026
The government leader in the National Congress, Senator Randolfe Rodrigues (PT-AP), said yesterday that the Freight MP (Provisional Measure 1,343/26) will be ready for a floor vote today (July 14). Leaders of independent truck drivers called for a strike starting at midnight on Monday in support ...
The political impact of Jair Bolsonaro's letter and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Jul 2026
The final week of activity in the National Congress began last Friday, ahead of the legislative recess. In the Senate, lawmakers may vote on the provisional measure establishing a minimum freight rate. Truck drivers are pressuring Congress to vote on the matter. Four presidential polls will be re...
This is the final week of legislative activity, the Senate may vote on the provisional measure on minimum freight rates, and the deadline for negotiations between Brazil and the U.S. on the tariffs ends on Wednesday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 13 Jul 2026
Starting Friday (July 17), the National Congress will recess and resume activity on August 3. Upon return, however, lawmakers will maintain a reduced schedule due to the electoral period. The Senate may vote this week on Provisional Measure (MP) No. 1,343/26, which deals with minimum freight rate...
The Gecex approved the temporary maintenance of the 12% Export Tax on crude oil, next week will be the final week of legislative activity before the recess, and the U.S. will decide whether to implement the 25% tariff
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 10 Jul 2026
At a meeting held yesterday (July 9), the Executive Management Committee of the Chamber of Foreign Trade (Gecex) approved the temporary maintenance of the 12% Export Tax rate on crude oil. According to the committee, the measure was adopted in response to the deterioration of the international en...
The period for party conventions begins on July 20, the war between the U.S. and Iran has once again increased oil prices, and the Central Bank faces uncertainty regarding interest rates
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 09 Jul 2026
The period for party conventions begins on July 20. The main parties with presidential candidates have already scheduled the dates of their respective conventions. Flavio Bolsonaro is expected to choose a female running mate with the aim of reducing his resistance among female voters. The war bet...
Flávio Bolsonaro defended Pix in the USTR public hearing, there is still no agreement on the rural debt renegotiation bill, and two new presidential polls should be published today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 08 Jul 2026
At a public hearing held yesterday at the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR), Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) defended suspending the proposed surcharge on Brazilian products and maintaining Pix. There is still no agreement between the government and Congress on the proposal...
Flávio Bolsonaro will participate in the USTR public hearing, Motta will meet with the FPA to discuss the rural debt renegotiation bill, and the president of the CNI requested predictability for the Selective Tax under tax reform
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Jul 2026
Today, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) will participate in a public hearing in the United States to discuss the proposed additional 25% tariff on Brazilian products. The son of former President Jair Bolsonaro is expected to speak for five minutes. Today, Speaker of the House Hugo Motta (Republic...
A reduced "fiscal time bomb" agenda and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Jul 2026
The Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) is holding a public hearing on Monday and Tuesday to hear testimony from American and Brazilian organizations regarding its investigation into Brazilian trade practices that the U.S. considers "unreasonable". Meanwhile, President of the ...