BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Flávio Bolsonaro stated that he will travel to the U.S. to advocate against the 25% tariffs, Operation Mirage will investigate Brazil’s National Financial System, and the STF will hear cases on digital platform employment
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Jun 2026
Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) stated yesterday that he will travel to the United States to advocate, on July 6, against the imposition of tariffs on Brazilian companies by the U.S. government. Flávio is expected to argue for the suspension of the proposed 25% tariff on Brazilian products and to d...
The PT is concerned about the investigation into Senator Jaques Wagner, the latest poll shows a majority of respondents have a negative view of the Lula administration, and Flávio Bolsonaro participated in the CNI event
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Jun 2026
The possible departure of Senate Government Leader Jaques Wagner (PT-BA) was discussed yesterday by President Lula’s campaign inner circle. Targeted by a Federal Police operation related to the Master case, the PT is concerned about the potential impact on Lula’s reelection campaign. An Ipsos/Ipe...
The Master Case reaches the PT and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Jun 2026
A slow week is expected, with reduced activity in the National Congress. President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva may decide the future of Senate Government Leader Jaques Wagner (PT-BA). The Supreme Federal Court will hear cases involving the employment relationship between drivers and delivery worker...
A slow week in Brasília, the investigation into Senator Jaques Wagner continues, and five new presidential polls should be published
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 22 Jun 2026
This will be a slow week in Brasília, with reduced activity in the National Congress, due to the São João festivities and Brazil's World Cup match on Wednesday (June 24). President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) is scheduled to meet this week with Senator Jaques Wagner (PT-BA), the government's l...
The Copom decided to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 points, the Lower House approved the Freight Transportation Executive Order, and the STF decided on the liability of digital platforms for third-party content
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 18 Jun 2026
As expected, the Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) decided to cut the benchmark interest rate (Selic) by 25 percentage points, bringing it to 14.25% per year. The Lower House approved yesterday the Freight Transportation Executive Order (MP 1,343/26). The floor adopted the report a...
The STF upheld the detention of Vorcaro’s cousin and father, the STF also convicted Eduardo Bolsonaro of coercion in the course of judicial proceedings, and the Lower House unblocked its agenda
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 17 Jun 2026
The Second Panel of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) upheld yesterday (June 16) the detention of Felipe Cançado Vorcaro and Henrique Moura Vorcaro, respectively the cousin and father of Banco Master owner Daniel Vorcaro. The final vote was 3–1. In the STF’s First Panel, former Federal Congressman ...
The STF should hear the criminal case involving Congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro today, Paulo Gonet rejected Vorcaro’s second plea bargain, and Zé Trovão submitted his report on the Freight Transportation MP
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 16 Jun 2026
The First Panel of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) is scheduled to hear today the criminal case involving former Congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro (PL) and political commentator Paulo Figueiredo. The investigation stems from public statements and social media posts in which Eduardo Bolsonaro claimed ...
"Fiscal time bomb" proposals worry the government and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Jun 2026
President Lula is attending the G7 meeting in France. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre may refer the proposal to end the 6-on-1 work schedule to the Senate Constitution and Justice Committee (CCJ). The rapporteur of the provisional measure on minimum freight rates may present his report to the Jo...
Lula will attend the G7 Summit in France this week, Alcolumbre is expected to submit the 6x1 workweek PEC to the CCJ, and the STF should hear the criminal case involving Congressman Eduardo Bolsonaro
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 15 Jun 2026
President Lula will attend the G7 Summit in France this week. He is expected to seek a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump to discuss the tariffs imposed on Brazilian products. This week, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP) is expected to refer the proposed constitutional amendment (...