BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Justice Moraes placed Bolsonaro under house arrest, the opposition is threatening to obstruct votes in the Senate, and VP Alckmin confirmed Brazil will take the tariff issue to the WTO
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 05 Aug 2025
Yesterday, Supreme Federal Court (STF) Justice Alexandre de Moraes placed former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) under house arrest. According to Moraes, the decision was made because Bolsonaro used the social media accounts of his allies to disseminate messages that “clearly encouraged and incited...
Dispute with the U.S. reshapes the 2026 chessboard and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Aug 2025
Congress resumes its legislative work this week with a packed agenda for the second half of the year, including key issues such as the Income Tax Reform, regulation of the broader Tax Reform, and a provisional measure increasing taxes on financial investments and betting platforms. President Lula...
Bolsonaro’s supporters held demonstrations across the country, Congress resumes activity this week, and Trump’s tariffs are set to take effect on Wednesday
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Aug 2025
Supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) held demonstrations in several cities on Sunday, August 3. President Lula (PT) and Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes were the primary targets of the protests. Congress resumes its activity this week amid a tense political atmosphere and a...
The U.S. may call on Brazil to negotiate as the tariffs are set to take effect next week, both the government and the opposition are politicizing the tariffs issue, and Congress resumes work next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Aug 2025
According to reports in the press, Brazil is expected to be called upon to negotiate with the U.S. government. However, no date has been set. Both the government and the opposition are attempting to politically capitalize on the situation, each pushing their own agendas. Congress will resume acti...
The U.S. announced the list of products that will be subject to the 50% tariff, the U.S. also imposed sanctions on Justice de Moraes, and the Central Bank kept the benchmark interest rate at 15%
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Jul 2025
The United States has announced the list of Brazilian products that will be subject to a 50% tariff. The executive order included 694 exceptions, notably orange juice, pulp, and Embraer aircraft. The U.S. government also imposed sanctions on Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes. In...
Governors issued a joint letter to the president of Camex and VP Alckmin, big tech companies met with VP Alckmin to discuss Trump’s tariffs, and the Central Bank is expected to announce the benchmark interest rate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Jul 2025
Governors from the states of Minas Gerais, Paraná, Rio de Janeiro, Rio Grande do Sul, Santa Catarina, and São Paulo issued a joint letter to the president of Brazil’s Foreign Trade Chamber (Camex) and Vice President Geraldo Alckmin, requesting a postponement of the decision regarding tariff reduc...
The government continues to negotiate countermeasures to Trump’s tariffs, Brazilian senators will meet with U.S. lawmakers today, and the Central Bank’s Copom meets today to discuss the benchmark interest rate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Jul 2025
A contingency plan prepared by the Ministries of Finance, Industry, Trade and Services (MDIC), and Foreign Affairs was presented yesterday to President Lula in an effort to mitigate the impact of the sweeping U.S. tariffs on Brazilian exports, scheduled to take effect on Friday. Sources within th...
Brazil vs. the US and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Jul 2025
On Friday, August 1, a 50% tariff on Brazilian exports to the United States is scheduled to take effect. There is widespread anticipation regarding the measures the Brazilian government will announce in response. The Ministry of Industry, Trade, and Services will hold daily press briefings throug...
Trump’s tariffs are set to take effect this Friday, the government is preparing a series of countermeasures in response, and the Central Bank will meet this week to decide on the benchmark interest rate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Jul 2025
A 50% tariff on Brazilian exports to the United States is scheduled to take effect on Friday, August 1. Negotiations between the two countries have been tense and have shown little progress. Brazil’s Ministries of Finance, Industry and Trade, and Foreign Affairs are preparing a set of countermeas...