BRAZIL POLITICS
Analysts
Murillo de Aragão
Founder, Political Consultancy Arko Advice
Cristiano Noronha
Partner, Political Consultancy Arko AdviceRecent Country Insights
Lula met with the presidents of the House and Senate to strengthen ties, a poll shows Lula would be a strong candidate should he run for re-election, and the agribusiness sector is concerned about possible tariffs from the US
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 04 Feb 2025
Yesterday, President Lula met with the president of the Lower House, Hugo Motta (Republicanos-PB), and of the Senate, Davi Alcolumbre (União-AP). The meeting was significant, signaling the Executive’s intent to strengthen ties with the Legislative branch. Yesterday, a Genial/Quaest poll on the 20...
Consequences of the decline in government approval and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 03 Feb 2025
The Legislative and Judicial branches resume their activities. The pace in the Legislature this week is expected to be slow, with negotiations taking place regarding members of the standing committees in both Houses. On Saturday, truck drivers will meet in São Paulo to discuss the sector’s list o...
Congressional activity resumes this week, Lula should submit two important bills to Congress, and the Supreme Federal Court resumes adjudication of major cases
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 03 Feb 2025
With the resumption of activity in the Judiciary and the Legislature, Brasilia is expected to have a busy month. The government’s initial goal is to ensure the approval of the 2025 Budget. President Lula is expected to submit two important proposals to Congress as part of a strategy to boost the ...
Lula gave an interview yesterday, the elections for the presidencies of the House and Senate will be held tomorrow, and Congress will resume activity next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 31 Jan 2025
President Lula gave a lengthy interview to journalists yesterday afternoon. He said he intends to make these meetings more frequent. One of the questions he was asked was about the possibility of new fiscal measures. Lula said that nothing is currently on the radar. This Saturday, elections will...
The Copom increased the benchmark interest rate by one percentage point, Haddad announced the expansion of payroll-deductible loans, and truck drivers will meet to discuss potential diesel price increases
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 30 Jan 2025
As expected, the Central Bank raised the benchmark interest rate (Selic) by 1 percentage point, bringing it to 13.25% per year. In an effort to create a positive agenda, Finance Minister Fernando Haddad (PT) announced the expansion of payroll-deductible loans through a new virtual platform that w...
Lula met with representatives from the real estate sector, the Planalto Palace is tackling food prices, and the Copom will meet today to decide on the benchmark interest rate
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 29 Jan 2025
Yesterday, representatives from the real estate sector met with President Lula and Finance Minister Fernando Haddad. The sector presented a list of concerns, including the FGTS birthday withdrawal, the risk of taxation on Real Estate Investment Funds, and issues regarding the Minha Casa, Minha Vi...
The President’s disapproval rating has increased across all groups, Petrobras will meet tomorrow to discuss fuel prices, and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs discussed the conditions of Brazilians deported from the US
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 Jan 2025
The Quaest poll published yesterday reveals concerning data for the government. The President's disapproval rating has increased across all regions, age groups, and among both men and women. In cases where disapproval remained stable, approval ratings dropped, indicating significant deterioration...
Parties are already strategizing for the 2026 race and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Jan 2025
This week, the Central Bank—now under the leadership of Gabriel Galípolo—will hold its first meeting of the year to decide the benchmark interest rate (Selic). On Saturday (February 1), members of the Lower House and Senate will elect the next presidents of their respective Houses for the 2025-20...
Bolsonaro discusses the 2026 elections, the Copom will meet this week to decide on the Selic, and the Petrobras Board of Directors will meet to discuss fuel prices
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 Jan 2025
Last week, in an interview with CNN, former President Jair Bolsonaro stated that former First Lady Michele and his son Eduardo Bolsonaro are good options to run in the 2026 elections. The Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) meets this Tuesday and Wednesday (January 28 and 29) to deci...