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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank May 13 -
Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank May 12
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 16
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank May 12
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank May 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank May 12
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South Africa databank May 6
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA: FISCAL PRESSURES AND POLITICAL SHIFTS...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
South Africa's x-President Zuma now behind bars
SOUTH AFRICA · In Brief · 08 Jul 2021 · 2 responses
After a day and night of legal and political high drama, x-President Zuma handed over himself to the police minutes before midnight yesterday. South Africa's constitutional democracy and its entire paradigm of 'equality before law' was on trial in full view of the nation all day and night. Zuma i...
China’s regulatory crackdown
CHINA ADVISORY · Report · 07 Jul 2021
China appears to be increasing the pace of state regulation of the country’s technology companies beyond what most analysts had originally expected. The latest intervention came in the form of a probe by the country’s cybersecurity administration into Didi Chuxing’s data policy – just two days af...
Finance Ministry expects about 14% yoy real GDP growth for Q2
HUNGARY · In Brief · 07 Jul 2021
This morning, finance minister Varga came forward, on his Facebook site, with the following chart, adding a few lines of explanation, full of good spirit and optimism:The chart presents actual yoy real GDP growth in a quarterly breakdown (see the horizontal white lines), against the historical ac...
US increasingly concerned by cybercrime emanating from Russia
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 07 Jul 2021
US companies believe that cybercriminals operating in Russia do so with at least the connivance of the Russian state.The Russian government denies all knowledge of this. Moscow strives to control the internet very strictly. If these hackers operate out of Russia then it is hard to believe that th...
The House may vote on the “super salaries” proposal, the privatization of Correios faces political and judicial difficulties, and Roberto Ferreira Dias should testify in the CPI today
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 07 Jul 2021
The Prosecutor General of Brazil, Augusto Aras, decided that is unconstitutional to privatize the Correios through a bill. The Joint Budget Committee should be installed today. The president of the CPI, Senator Omar Aziz, said that the committee will continue to work during the recess, although S...
Lower bond issuance in July
ISRAEL · Report · 06 Jul 2021
Private consumption has softened in recent months, following previous pent-up demand. High-tech service exports continue to expand rapidly, supportive of shekel appreciation. The BoI maintained present policy rates at 0.1%, with the monetary statement generally upbeat in light of recent positive ...
Economics: GDP growth consensus forecast upwardly revised but investment outlook remains weak
MEXICO · Report · 06 Jul 2021
Economic growth estimates have been upwardly revised by authorities and analysts. The central bank boosted its growth projection to an annual 6%, up from the previous 4.25% projection. We at GEA, however, maintain our 4.5% growth projection for 2021. Growth in January-April was 2.6%. According...
South Africa Covid-19 update and the Jacob Zuma arrest
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 06 Jul 2021
South Africa is in the grips of its third wave of the Covid-19 pandemic and it is proving to be quite severe, far more so than the first two waves as per the rate of infections. The seven-day rolling average cases were 12,584 during the peak of the first wave (July 2020) and were 19,042 during t...
Politics: Labor reform, at a snail’s pace, but bolstered by the USMCA
MEXICO · Report · 06 Jul 2021
Mexico’s 2019 labor reform is being implemented very slowly, but it is surely moving forward. The country’s moribund labor movement is indeed in need of a major overhaul. The majority of Mexican unions are company unions, with employer-worker relations underpinned by protection contracts. Union r...
Synthesis of the Brazilian Economy
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 06 Jul 2021
Since the death toll from Covid-19 exceeded the unenviable milestone of 500 thousand, positive signs have emerged due to the progress of vaccination. Fortunately, the threat of a third contagion wave did not materialize: the peak of daily deaths surpassed 2 thousand in the 7-day moving average on...
The government prepares to pay for the three extra months of emergency aid, privatization of Correios in the House, and Joint Budget Committee to be installed
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Jul 2021
The government should announce a new social program to replace the Bolsa Família in October. The Correios auction is scheduled for March 2022. Regina Célia testifies in the Pandemic CPI today. Fernando Guardado’s appointment to the Central Bank was approved.
Inflation slows to 4.1%
PHILIPPINES · In Brief · 06 Jul 2021
The headline inflation rate continued to slow down in June, posting a 4.1% yoy increase vs 4.5% in the previous month. On a mom basis, a slight uptick to 0.2% was observed, mainly due to higher prices of energy-related items. The latter followed rising world oil demand that has pushed up crude oi...
The government is betting on a positive agenda and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 06 Jul 2021
The Pandemic CPI will hear Deputy Luis Miranda (DEM-DF) on Tuesday, July 6, during a secret session. He has made accusations of corruption in the Ministry of Health related to the purchase of the Covaxin vaccine from India. The Senate will vote on some appointments, including that of Fernanda Gua...
Saudi-UAE OPEC+ disagreement tests their relationship
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 06 Jul 2021
OPEC+ has failed to reach an agreement on tapering and extending its deal because the UAE is arguing for the right to produce more in line with its capacity. This dispute has focused attention on broader divergences between the UAE and its close ally Saudi Arabia. However, we expect a compromise ...
Rising tension in the Black Sea
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 06 Jul 2021
On July 5 Russia sent a warship equipped with a long range cruise missile to the Black Sea. A NATO exercise is ongoing in the Black Sea at the moment. The NATO exercise is called "Sea Breeze 2021". Russian ships that had been serving off the coast of Syria are also returning to the Black Sea. The...