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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank Apr 15
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Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank Mar 31
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank Apr 28
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank Apr 25
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank Mar 25
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Panama databank Jan 28
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank Apr 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank Apr 11
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South Africa databank Apr 7
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank Mar 6
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Venezuela databank Apr 24
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Former Ukrainian president under investigation
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 29 May 2020
On May 27 an art gallery was raided by the SBI because it contained paintings owned by Poroshenko. Petro Poroshenko is being investigated by the SBI (the Ukrainian equivalent of the FBI). He is accused of illegally importing 43 paintings. He has put them on display.Former President Poroshenko has...
South Africa’s economy moves down to lockdown Level 3
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 29 May 2020
It has been a long and challenging two months for most South African businesses and workers due to the country lockdown that followed shortly after a state of emergency was declared on account of the Covid-19 pandemic. Therefore, President Ramaphosa’s address on May 24 announcing that the countr...
GULF WEEKLY: Reopenings accelerate, and oil cuts might be extended
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 29 May 2020 · 1 response
A skimmable summary of key developments overlaid with our analysis and links to further information. Headlines include: * Most states outlined reopening plans for the next few weeks. * Coronavirus active infections fell in Saudi and Qatar, but returned to growth in UAE and are rising quickly ...
Solid Q1 growth, but brace for an ugly ride ahead
TURKEY · Report · 29 May 2020
Turkish economy grew by 4.5%, y/y, and 0.6%, q/q, in the first quarter of this year (Graph 1), which is somewhat weaker than expectations. More importantly, however, these figures reflect the COVID-19 shock only partially, with the lockdowns affecting at most one-sixth of the quarter. The second ...
Central America, Dominican Republic, Panama Region webinar featuring Francisco de Paula Gutierrez, Felix Delgado, Pavel Isa and Marco Fernandez: Challenges amid the pandemic
CENTRAL AMERICA · Report · 29 May 2020
Central America, Dominican Republic, Panama Region webinar featuring Francisco de Paula Gutierrez, Felix Delgado, Pavel Isa and Marco Fernandez: Challenges amid the pandemic GlobalSource Partners’ Country Analysts discuss the Covid-19 health situation, the macro and fiscal implications of the...
AEB wants fair access to Russian market
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 29 May 2020
On May 28 the chief executive of the Association of European Businesses (AEB) said he wants his members to have a fair chance to offer goods and services in Russia. This is especially in relation to coronavirus. The head of the AEB is Tadzio Schilling. The 42 year old former Swiss diplomat took o...
Russia spending USD 114 billion to kickstart the economy
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 29 May 2020
On May 25 the Ministry of Economic Development decided that in 2020-21 it shall spend USD 114 billion to stimulate the economy. This was in an internal memo published by Vedomosti newspaper. Most of this will be in spending but there will also be tax deferrals and tax exemptions. Stimulus will be...
Bolsonaro’s reaction increases tension
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 May 2020
The tension between branches of government has been growing in the last hours and is taking on the appearance of a potential institutional crisis. After the repercussions from the Federal Police (PF) operation against allies, militants and parliamentarians linked to the Bolsonarismo, President Ja...
Disapproval of the administration reaches 43%
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 28 May 2020
"Bad/Very bad” evaluations of the Jair Bolsonaro administration increased by five percentage points in nearly 30 days, reaching the highest level of disapproval since August 2019, according to the most recent Datafolha poll released today, May 28. On the other hand, Bolsonaro continues to demonst...
Russian macro: 2020 outlook unchanged amid mixed statistics in April
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · Forecast · 28 May 2020
Preliminary statistics for April released by Rosstat indicate that retail sales were sharply lower, both m-o-m and y-o-y, by 28.5% (not seasonally adjusted) and by 23.3%, respectively. The 4M20 tally fell by 2.8% y-o-y. A very deep contraction was generally expected, but the published figures s...
MNB vice governor Márton Nagy has resigned
HUNGARY · In Brief · 28 May 2020
The local media has just reported this, referring to a statement from the MNB, which cannot be seen on the Bank's website at the moment. According to the report, Mr. Nagy has resigned with effect today, in view of 'another important managerial position', which he is supposed to take over. The MNB...
Struggling to fight COVID-19
CENTRAL AMERICA · Report · 28 May 2020
The COVID-19 pandemic arrived in Central America in March, and is posing both health and economic challenges. The infection has spread, and is having various economic and social impacts, on production, employment, the balance of payments, fiscal accounts and the financial system. In Costa Rica...
PF operation hits Bolsonaro allies and keeps the political climate tense
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 27 May 2020
Today the Federal Police (PF) conducted search and seizure operations within the scope of the “fake news inquiry”. The measures were authorized by Minister of the Supreme Federal Court (STF) Alexandre de Moraes. According to Moraes, the investigations showed that a group produced and dissemina...
Ukraine investigating Biden
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 27 May 2020
On May 21 a court in Kyiv authorized the Prosecutor-General to investigate Joe Biden. The allegation is that Biden interfered in the work of a previous Prosecutor-General Viktor Shokin. Tapes were released showing Biden's conversation with the at the time President Poroshenko over the situation. ...
2020-2022 Outlook: Hitting bottom or continuing freefall?
VENEZUELA · Forecast · 27 May 2020
Our outlook through 2022 begins with a single scenario for 2020, then branches off into two scenarios for 2021–2022 that we consider equally likely: Regime Change or Chavismo Persists. In both scenarios, Maduro is assumed to remain in power at least through the end of 2020. A collapsing oil se...