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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank May 13
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Brazil Economics databank Apr 14
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank May 12
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 16
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank May 12
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank May 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank May 12
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South Africa databank May 6
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA: FISCAL PRESSURES AND POLITICAL SHIFTS...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Calmer politics, slower economy
TURKEY · Report · 03 Jul 2022
President Erdogan confused everyone with his performance during and after the NATO Summit. He first conceded to Swedish and Finnish accession in return for vague promises of help with Turkey’s war against terror, topped by support from the Biden administration for the delayed F-16 sale. He later ...
0.5% hike expected today; markets will follow the BoI macro forecast closely
ISRAEL · In Brief · 03 Jul 2022
Macro factors support more aggressive tightening: Core inflation accelerated to 3.65% y/y in May from 3.4%. Inflation expectations one year ahead in the bond market are over 4%. Economic growth appears fairly steady, with private consumption expanding (credit card purchases up 6% saar in March-Ma...
Ukraine bombs Russia
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 03 Jul 2022
On July 3 explosions in Belgorod killed 3 people. 50 buildings were destroyed or damage. The city is 40 km from Ukraine. Ukraine has not claimed or denied being behind the attack. Russia claimed to have shot down 2 Ukrainian drones. Lysyschansk, Ukraine remains the vortex of the war. Russian forc...
Wall on Belarus-Polish Border
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 02 Jul 2022
On July 1 Poland announced it had completed the steel wall. The aim of the wall is to stop illegal immigrant crossing into Poland and therefore the EU. Belarus previously sent illegal immigrants to EU countries to punish them for sanctions. Th 186 km border is tense. Belarus is an ally of Poland....
Missile strike kills 21 civilians in Ukraine
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 02 Jul 2022
On July 1 a missile hit an apartment block in Odessa Region. Russia denied being behind the attack. The missiles were launched from planes flying over the Black Sea. Germany condemned the attacks as cruel. Zelensky said that the EU should admit Ukraine to full membership quickly. North Macedonia...
The South African bond market is once again under stress after a good start in 2022
SOUTH AFRICA · Report · 01 Jul 2022
As market volatility has intensified globally on the back of a myriad of headwinds including elevated inflation rates that have led to a normalizing of policy rates sooner and at more accelerated rates than markets initially anticipated, the South African bond market, too, is experiencing increas...
Russian auto industry imploding
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 01 Jul 2022
In May 2022 car production was down 97% YoY. That is according to the Russian statistical agency. Auto manufacturing declined at the beginning of the war but it has taken several months for the impact of sanctions to be felt. Sanctions means that Russia cannot access vital components. Moreover, a...
Essential CIS Politics: July 2022
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · Report · 01 Jul 2022
* Russia has taken Severodonetsk after weeks of bombardment. * The EU gives Ukraine and Moldova candidate status. * Ukraine admits its situation is difficult as deaths mount. * Kazakhstan changed its constitution, stripping Nazarbayev of his title. * EU continues to tighten sanct...
GULF WEEKLY: OPEC+ kicks the can, Saudi provides liquidity for banks, Tahnoun visits Doha
GULF COUNTRIES · Report · 01 Jul 2022
A skimmable summary overlaid with our analysis and links. Headlines: * OPEC+ didn’t announce September allocations, and Macron worried about Saudi and UAE capacity. * US-Iran nuclear talks in Doha apparently made no progress but should reconvene in a few weeks. * Coronavirus infections have ...
Bulgaria expels 70 Russian diplomats
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 01 Jul 2022
On June 30 Sofia expelled them for activity incompatible with diplomatic status. The Russian Ambassador has not been expelled despite her openly insulting the Bulgarian Government as ''Western lackeys.'' Moscow has reacted angrily. It has threatened to close its embassy in Bulgaria. Bad relations...
Russian sovereign debt: The market becomes local
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · Report · 01 Jul 2022
International holders didn’t receive interest payments on two issues of Sovereign Eurobonds by the expiration of the grace period despite all the efforts of the Finance Ministry, and the event of default was finally observed. However, Russian authorities are trying to deliver payments to investor...
Webinar Replay: Peru – Castillo walks a tightrope as the economy struggles
PERU · Report · 01 Jul 2022
Will Castillo stay in government? How deep is the economic deceleration? Visit our calendar page to watch the replay of our webinar featuring Alfredo Thorne discussing Peru's ongoing political crisis and its impact on the country's economic outlook.
A new increase in the monetary policy rate
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC · In Brief · 01 Jul 2022
Yesterday, the Central Bank decided an increase of 75 basic points in the monetary policy rate. The rate of the permanent facility for liquidity expansion (1-day Repos) increases from 7.00% to 7.75% per year and the interest-bearing deposit rate (Overnight) from 6.00% to 6.75% per year. This is t...
The Senate approved the PEC on Fuels, next week is the penultimate week of legislative activity, and former President Lula and Geraldo Alckmin will meet with Fiesp businessmen next week
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 01 Jul 2022
To guarantee approval, the rapporteur of the PEC on Fuels, Senator Fernando Bezerra, had to make some compromises. Bezerra included a R$ 200 gasoline voucher per month for taxi drivers, at a cost of R$ 2 billion, and the allocation of R$ 500 million to the Alimenta Brasil program. Next week will ...
Russia: a brief market watch
RUSSIA ECONOMICS · In Brief · 01 Jul 2022
The ruble touched the R/$50 mark recently and encouraged the Ministry of Finance’s verbal interventions. The ministry now plans to discuss ways of “weakening” the exchange rate. One of the ways considered by the authorities could result in purchasing currencies of “friendly” countries on the open...