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Events
Databanks
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Argentina databank May 19 -
Brazil Economics databank May 19
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Central America databank May 1
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Chile databank Apr 7
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China databank Mar 21
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Colombia databank May 12
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Dominican Republic databank Apr 28
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Ecuador databank Apr 22
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Gulf Countries databank May 16
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Hungary databank Apr 22
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India databank Apr 28
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Mexico databank May 12
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Panama databank May 13
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Peru databank Apr 28
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Philippines databank May 8
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Poland databank Apr 29
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Russia Economics databank May 12
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South Africa databank May 6
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Turkey databank Apr 24
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Ukraine databank May 12
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Venezuela databank May 5
NEWS FLASH
WEBINAR - LATIN AMERICA: FISCAL PRESSURES AND POLITICAL SHIFTS...
COUNTRY INSIGHTS
Russia gives USD 7 billion to pensioners and military personnel
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 24 Aug 2021
On August 24 Putin told deputies of the United Russia party that money should be paid to senior citizens and those serving in the armed forces. USD 135 will be paid to each pensioner and USD 200 to each person in the military regardless of rank. In September 2021 parliamentary elections will take...
The MNB appeared to really mean it today
HUNGARY · In Brief · 24 Aug 2021
The MNB made two important decisions at their August rate-setting meeting today, both in the direction of significant tightening:- They raised the base rate by another 30 bps to 1.5%, the same way as they also raised the interest rate corridor by the same amount, to 0.55-2.45%, and as they will r...
Delta variant interrupts economic performance
CHINA · Report · 24 Aug 2021
COVID’s Delta variant and extreme weather have been hitting the economy for the past month, but their effects will be temporary. Industrial output was up 6.4% y/y in July, and up 11.5% from July 2019, with an annualized growth rate of 5.6% y/y, down 1 ppts from Q2 2021. Investment was up 10.3% y/...
Governors have requested to meet with the leaders of the three branches of government, Augusto Aras’s confirmation hearings begin in the Senate’s CCJ, and Mendonça’s appointment to the STF faces resistance
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 24 Aug 2021
The governors of 24 states spoke out against the approval of the income tax bill. Arthur Lira would like to vote on the text this week but an agreement has not yet been reached. Pacheco says the bill is not well received in the Senate. The court-ordered payments proposal does not yet have a rappo...
Economics: Social deprivation climbs as income and healthcare access fall in latest survey
MEXICO · Report · 24 Aug 2021
The latest installment of the bi-annual National Household Income and Expenditure Survey (Enigh) based on a survey from the autumn of 2020, and the accompanying multidimensional reading of poverty from Coneval are especially significant as they depict not only the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic...
It’s encouraging
VENEZUELA · Report · 24 Aug 2021
It’s encouraging that, according to the Memorandum of Understanding signed by the Venezuelan government and the opposition Unity Platform on August 13 in Mexico City, the goal of the Norway-mediated talks will be to set down new rules of the political game consistent with the Constitution. Th...
Politics: Media and freedom of the press under assault from politicians and cartels
MEXICO · Report · 23 Aug 2021
When a leader of one of the most powerful drug cartels in Mexico posted in recent days a video threatening the main anchor of a national news service with death if she did not suspend her reporting on the group’s activities, it was just the latest terrifying episode in an extended history of mou...
Taliban victory leads to mixed feelings in Central Asia
RUSSIA / FSU POLITICS · In Brief · 23 Aug 2021
Russia has kept its embassy in Kabul open and flattered the Taliban effusively. There is schadenfreude in Moscow about the bedlam in Kabul. One politician bragged that soon pro-US Ukrainians will see the Americans abandon them.Moscow has striven to develop a working relationship with the Taliban....
Lessons learned from the Income Tax Reform and other weekly topics
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Aug 2021
Bolsonaro may file a request for impeachment against Minister of the STF Luís Roberto Barroso. The Senate is analyzing Augusto Aras's appointment as Prosecutor General of Brazil (PGR). Deputy Arthur Maia (DEM-BA) may read his report on the Administrative Reform proposal. In the STF, two matters m...
The “Floating Fiscal Anchor” and Its Consequences
BRAZIL ECONOMICS · Report · 23 Aug 2021
In the past several weeks, the risk premiums have grown significantly, accompanied by a marked increase of the entire structure of the yield curve and renewed weakening of the Real. The main factor underpinning this reaction is the realization that the spending cap has become a “floating fiscal a...
Turkey Covid Watch - August 23, 2021
TURKEY · Report · 23 Aug 2021
Cases declined over the past few weeks, albeit at a slow pace. The Ministry of Health announced that 90% of cases are currently of the Delta variant.
A wasted summer
TURKEY · Report · 23 Aug 2021
The politics section starts with an assessment of President Erdogan’s mental condition, an issue now brought up by the opposition. He may be experiencing momentary lapses of memory or early signs of dementia. This non-medical diagnosis suggests decision making in Ankara will likely become even mo...
Pres. Bolsonaro submitted an impeachment request against Min. de Moraes and may submit another against Min. Barroso. The STF should analyze the autonomy of the Central Bank and the exclusion of the ISS in calculating the PIS and Cofins taxes
BRAZIL POLITICS · Report · 23 Aug 2021
Rodrigo Pacheco has said that he does not believe there is technical, political or legal basis for the impeachment of the STF ministers. The rapporteurs of the Administrative Reform proposal in the House and the Tax Reform proposal in the Senate should submit their reports on the texts. Today, 24...
Rates remain unchanged as well as forward guidance
ISRAEL · In Brief · 23 Aug 2021
Rates remained unchanged today at 0.1% with the monetary statements noting both the uptick in infections (but hopeful that the booster shot will slow this trend) as well as the strong economic recovery. The output gap is at 3% in Q221, compared to the previous assessment of 4.5%. There is a hirin...
GDP growth likely to reach nearly 7% this year
ISRAEL · Report · 23 Aug 2021
* Robust GDP numbers in the 2nd quarter and an upward revision to the 1st quarter reflect a strong economic recovery, less supportive of monetary accommodation. * Job vacancies continue to move higher despite strong employment growth. * Consumer confidence has weakened on concerns regard...